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Who we are

With research staff from more than 60 countries, and offices across the globe, IFPRI provides research-based policy solutions to sustainably reduce poverty and end hunger and malnutrition in developing countries.

Eliot Jones-Garcia

Eliot Jones-Garcia is a Senior Research Analyst with the Natural Resources and Resilience Unit based in Washington, DC. His research focuses on human-AI interaction, user-centered design, and the ethical and responsible development of AI. Eliot is currently finalizing a PhD on the digitalization of agricultural advisory services at Wageningen University & Research.

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What we do

Since 1975, IFPRI’s research has been informing policies and development programs to improve food security, nutrition, and livelihoods around the world.

Where we work

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Where we work

IFPRI currently has more than 600 employees working in over 80 countries with a wide range of local, national, and international partners.

Publications and Datasets

IFPRI publications provide evidence-based insights and analysis on critical issues related to policies for food systems, food security, agriculture, diets and nutrition, poverty, and sustainability, helping to inform effective policies and strategies. Materials published by IFPRI are released under a Creative Commons license, and are available for download. IFPRI authors also publish in external sources, such as academic journals and books. Where possible we provide a download link for the full text of these publications.

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By Title By Author By Country/Region By Keyword

Working Paper

A good global investment for the United Kingdom: How investing in CGIAR reduces global poverty and benefits U.K. citizens

2025Hill, Ruth Vargas; Martin, Will; McNamara, Brian; Nia, Reza; Spielman, David J.; Takeshima, Hiroyuki; Vos, Rob

A good global investment for the United Kingdom: How investing in CGIAR reduces global poverty and benefits U.K. citizens

CGIAR investments have delivered substantial economic benefits for the U.K. while reducing global poverty and food insecurity. CGIAR has boosted productivity on British farms, expanded export markets, and made food more affordable for British consumers. It has also helped prevent potential damage from pests and diseases that threaten U.K. farm livelihoods. CGIAR investments are likely to continue benefiting U.K. farmers in the future as the CGIAR’s provision of genetic material to the U.K. has increased over time. This paper quantifies the benefits to farmers, exporters and consumers.

Year published

2025

Authors

Hill, Ruth Vargas; Martin, Will; McNamara, Brian; Nia, Reza; Spielman, David J.; Takeshima, Hiroyuki; Vos, Rob

Citation

Hill, Ruth; Martin, Will; McNamara, Brian; Nia, Reza; Spielman, David; Takeshima, Hiroyuki; and Vos, Rob. 2025. A good global investment for the United Kingdom: How investing in CGIAR reduces global poverty and benefits U.K. citizens. IFPRI Working Paper. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176682

Country/Region

United Kingdom

Keywords

Europe; Economic Benefits; Poverty; Food Security; Farms; Exports; Consumers

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Working Paper

Working Paper

A good global investment for the United States: How investing in CGIAR makes America stronger, safer and more prosperous

2025
Hill, Ruth Vargas; McNamara, Brian; Ringler, Claudia; Spielman, David J.; Thurlow, James; Berrospi, Maria Lucia; Chambers, Judith A.; Falck-Zepeda, José B.; Gilligan, Daniel O.; Glauber, Joseph W.
…more Hernandez, Manuel A.; Headey, Derek D.; Hoffmann, Vivian; Kosec, Katrina; Martin, Will; Nia, Reza; Nin-Pratt, Alejandro; Piñeiro, Valeria; Takeshima, Hiroyuki; Vos, Rob; Zambrano, Patricia; Zhang, Wei

A good global investment for the United States: How investing in CGIAR makes America stronger, safer and more prosperous

This report documents how CGIAR investments have delivered substantial economic, security, and diplomatic benefits for the U.S. that far exceed financial contributions. By driving agricultural innovation and providing evidence-based insights, CGIAR has boosted U.S. farm productivity, expanded export markets, and made food more affordable for American consumers. It has also helped prevent billions of dollars in potential damage from pests and diseases that threaten U.S. food security and farm livelihoods. CGIAR promotes American leadership in agricultural innovation by supplying the majority of the genetic materials used in U.S. crop breeding and acting as a critical research partner for U.S. businesses and universities. CGIAR also makes America safer and stronger through its work on predicting crises, protecting food security, and on improving livelihoods as an alternative to migration.

Year published

2025

Authors

Hill, Ruth Vargas; McNamara, Brian; Ringler, Claudia; Spielman, David J.; Thurlow, James; Berrospi, Maria Lucia; Chambers, Judith A.; Falck-Zepeda, José B.; Gilligan, Daniel O.; Glauber, Joseph W.; Hernandez, Manuel A.; Headey, Derek D.; Hoffmann, Vivian; Kosec, Katrina; Martin, Will; Nia, Reza; Nin-Pratt, Alejandro; Piñeiro, Valeria; Takeshima, Hiroyuki; Vos, Rob; Zambrano, Patricia; Zhang, Wei

Citation

Hill, Ruth; McNamara, Brian; Ringler, Claudia; Spielman, David; Thurlow, James; Berrospi, Maria Lucia; et al. 2025. A good global investment for the United States: How investing in CGIAR makes America stronger, safer and more prosperous. IFPRI Working Paper. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/176753

Country/Region

United States

Keywords

Americas; Northern America; Economic Aspects; Finance; Agricultural Innovation; Exports; Markets; Food Security; Research

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Working Paper

Journal Article

Estimating multidimensional development resilience

2026Lee, Seungmin; Abay, Kibrom A.; Barrett, Christopher B.; Hoddinott, John F.

Estimating multidimensional development resilience

Existing measures of resilience are typically based on a single well-being indicator. This is problematic in contexts where households face deprivations across multiple dimensions. We develop a multidimensional resilience measure, integrating probabilistic moment-based resilience measurement approaches with multidimensional poverty measurement methods. Applying these to household panel data from Ethiopia, we show that univariate and multidimensional resilience measures based on expenditure-based poverty, dietary diversity, and livestock asset holdings can yield varied inferences on the ranking of households as well as potential impact of development interventions. Univariate resilience measures constructed using consumption expenditure, dietary diversity and livestock asset holdings show distinct temporal and spatial distributional patterns. But while univariate measures are weakly correlated with one another and with different well-being metrics, multivariate measures exhibit much stronger rank correlations. When we contrast univariate measures of resilience to multidimensional measures of resilience, we find that the latter vary less over the study period; multidimensional resilience measures seem to capture more “persistent or structural” vulnerability and associated capacity of households. We also demonstrate the differences in these univariate and multivariate measures, including the potential of the composite multidimensional resilience measures for supporting targeting processes.

Year published

2026

Authors

Lee, Seungmin; Abay, Kibrom A.; Barrett, Christopher B.; Hoddinott, John F.

Citation

Lee, Seungmin; Abay, Kibrom A.; Barrett, Christopher B.; and Hoddinott, John. 2025. Estimating multidimensional development resilience. Journal of Development Economics 178(January 2026): 103583. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103583

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Africa; Eastern Africa; Data; Development; Households; Resilience

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-NC-ND-4.0

Record type

Journal Article


Explore Our Latest Publications

Important: This website search is limited to displaying the 100 most recent results to ensure optimal performance. For access to the complete archive of IFPRI publications and resources, please visit the IFPRI Institutional Repository at https://cgspace.cgiar.org/.

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Dataset

Tajikistan Rural Household Survey (TRHS) 2025

2026International Food Policy Research Institute
Details

Tajikistan Rural Household Survey (TRHS) 2025

The Tajikistan Rural Household Survey (TRHS) is a survey data collection effort led by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) and the Tajik Academy of Agricultural Sciences (TAAS). It is an ambitious attempt to generate data critical to filling pertinent evidence gaps on the livelihoods and the resilience of rural households in Tajikistan. The TRHS interviewed 3,267 households in the country’s three most populated regions (Sughd Region, Khatlon Region, and Districts of Republic Subordination). The in-person household survey includes a household-level questionnaire that was administered to any knowledgeable adult household member. An accompanying individual-level questionnaire was administered in private to one randomly selected household member, aged 18 to 54 years old. In households were no adult was present in the specified age range, another household member 55 years or older was allowed to respond to the individual-level questionnaire. The dataset also consists of a brief enumerator survey.

Year published

2026

Authors

International Food Policy Research Institute

Citation

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). 2026. Tajikistan Rural Household Survey (TRHS) 2025. Washington, DC: IFPRI [dataset]. https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/YPTNYW. Harvard Dataverse. Version 1.

Country/Region

Tajikistan

Keywords

Central Asia; Asia; Income; Gender; Agriculture; Livelihoods; Rural Areas

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Gender Equality

Record type

Dataset

Journal Article

Armed conflict, community-based cash transfers, and social cohesion: Evidence from a randomized intervention in Ethiopia

2026Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Abay, Kibrom A.; Tabe-Ojong, Martin Paul Jr.
Details

Armed conflict, community-based cash transfers, and social cohesion: Evidence from a randomized intervention in Ethiopia

Year published

2026

Authors

Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Abay, Kibrom A.; Tabe-Ojong, Martin Paul Jr.

Citation

Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Abay, Kibrom A.; and Tabe-Ojong, Martin Paul Jr. 2026. Armed conflict, community-based cash transfers, and social cohesion: Evidence from a randomized intervention in Ethiopia. World Development 199(March 2026): 107249. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107249

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Eastern Africa; Conflicts; Social Protection; Cash Transfers; Civil Conflict

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Can a light-touch graduation model enhance livelihood outcomes? Evidence from Ethiopia

2026Leight, Jessica; Gilligan, Daniel O.; Hidrobo, Melissa; Alderman, Harold; Mulford, Michael
Details

Can a light-touch graduation model enhance livelihood outcomes? Evidence from Ethiopia

Year published

2026

Authors

Leight, Jessica; Gilligan, Daniel O.; Hidrobo, Melissa; Alderman, Harold; Mulford, Michael

Citation

Leight, Jessica; Gilligan, Daniel O.; Hidrobo, Melissa; Alderman, Harold; and Mulford, Michael. 2026. Can a light-touch graduation model enhance livelihood outcomes? Evidence from Ethiopia. Journal of Development Economics 179(February 2026): 103682. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103682

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Eastern Africa; Models; Livelihoods; Poverty; Cash Transfers; Livestock; Food Security; Savings Group; Social Protection

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Project

Policies, Institutions, and Markets

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

When prices spike: Identifying excessive volatility in fertilizer markets

2026Yao, Feng; Hernandez, Manuel A.
Details

When prices spike: Identifying excessive volatility in fertilizer markets

Sharp and volatile fertilizer price movements can hinder adoption and reduce agricultural productivity, especially among vulnerable smallholders. Using a nonparametric location-scale approach to model price returns, we quantify the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR)—the high return threshold exceeded with low probability—to identify excessive price spikes in potash, urea, and di-ammonium phosphate (DAP) markets. We use the bias-corrected estimator from Martins-Filho et al., (2018) and propose a simpler estimator based on Hill (1975). Backtesting results indicate superior performance of the Hill-based estimator, supporting its value as a convenient method for detecting unusual fertilizer price surges amid recurring global volatility.

Year published

2026

Authors

Yao, Feng; Hernandez, Manuel A.

Citation

Yao, Feng; and Hernandez, Manuel A. When prices spike: Identifying excessive volatility in fertilizer markets. Economics Letters 259(February 2026): 112758. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112758

Keywords

Fertilizers; Prices; Price Volatility; Markets; Dynamic Programming; Modelling; Monitoring

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Pork safety across Vietnam’s traditional markets: microbial contamination and vendor knowledge, attitudes, and practices

2026
Trang Thi Huyen Le; Hoffmann, Vivian; Ambler, Kate; Murphy, Mike; Sinh Dang-Xuan; Lindahl, Johanna F.; Rajala, E.; Lam, Steven; Boqvist, S.; Unger, Fred
…more Hung Nguyen-Viet
Details

Pork safety across Vietnam’s traditional markets: microbial contamination and vendor knowledge, attitudes, and practices

Foodborne diseases are a major cause of illness in low- and middle-income countries, and most are due to fresh foods sold in traditional markets. Contamination with foodborne pathogens, especially Salmonella spp., continues to be common in these markets. To better understand why this is the case, this study assessed total bacteria count (TBC) and Salmonella in pork across Vietnamese traditional markets and evaluated vendors’ food safety knowledge, attitudes, and practices, examining their associations with contamination. Data was collected in 68 markets across five provinces, with up to 10 pork vendors per market randomly selected. Microbiological data were collected through cut pork samples and cutting boards swabs (n=396), along with structured questionnaires and observations with vendors (n=486). Cutting board swabs were analyzed for TBC only, while cut pork was tested for both TBC and Salmonella. Linear and generalized linear mixed-effects models were constructed to identify risk factors for TBC and Salmonella prevalence. The overall Salmonella prevalence in cut pork was 64.4% (255/396) and was significantly higher in southern provinces (86.8%) compared to the north (47.5%, p < 0.01). TBC was high in pork and cutting boards (6.4 log10CFU/g and 6.9 log10CFU/cm2, respectively), and only 30% of the pork samples met the Vietnamese standard for TBC in fresh meat. Selling of organs was associated with a higher TBC (coefficient = 0.13, CI: 0.01–0.26, p = 0.03) and greater Salmonella risk (OR = 2.04, p = 0.009). Temperature significantly increased both outcomes (p < 0.001), while using easy-to-clean surfaces reduced TBC levels (coefficient = -0.16, CI: -0.30 to -0.01, p = 0.03). Vendors demonstrated limited food safety knowledge and mixed attitudes. Observations revealed poor hygienic practices, such as displaying pork on cardboard or cloth or lack of washing with soap and disinfectants, which was influenced by limited access to facilities and equipment. Regional differences suggested contamination levels were influenced by both environmental and market-related factors. These findings highlight the need for holistic interventions targeting an enabling environment, appropriate equipment, and behavioral incentives.

Year published

2026

Authors

Trang Thi Huyen Le; Hoffmann, Vivian; Ambler, Kate; Murphy, Mike; Sinh Dang-Xuan; Lindahl, Johanna F.; Rajala, E.; Lam, Steven; Boqvist, S.; Unger, Fred; Hung Nguyen-Viet

Citation

Trang Thi Huyen Le, Hoffmann, V., Ambler, K., Murphy, M., Sinh Dang-Xuan, Lindahl, J.F., Rajala, E., Lam, S., Boqvist, S., Unger, F. and Hung Nguyen-Viet. 2026. Pork safety across Vietnam’s traditional markets: microbial contamination and vendor knowledge, attitudes, and practices. Preventive Veterinary Medicine 247:106757.

Country/Region

Vietnam

Keywords

Asia; South-eastern Asia; Animal Products; Food Safety; Markets; Pork; Capacity Development

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Empowerment unveiled: Gender dynamics and the impact of nutrition-sensitive agriculture interventions among ethnic minority groups in northern Vietnam

2026Nguyen Thi, Lan Thuy; van den Berg, Marrit; Stomph, TjeerdJan; Nabuuma, Deborah; Kramer, Berber
Details

Empowerment unveiled: Gender dynamics and the impact of nutrition-sensitive agriculture interventions among ethnic minority groups in northern Vietnam

Gender equality and women’s empowerment are key global agendas, yet women often face marginalization compared to men. Nutrition-sensitive agriculture interventions (NSAs) often aim to benefit women but their impacts on women’s empowerment remain unclear. This study focuses on: 1) assessing the empowerment levels of women and men from three ethnic minorities in rural northern Vietnam (Thai, H’Mong and Dao) with the Project-level women’s empowerment in agriculture index (Pro-WEAI); 2) examining the potential of NSA to improve women’s empowerment during COVID-19 pandemic; and 3) applying an intersectional lens by analyzing how empowerment and treatment effects vary by ethnic subgroups. We conducted a Randomized controlled trial (RCT) involving around 600 rural households from 36 clusters that were randomly assigned to one of the following three treatment arms: receiving agriculture and nutrition training; receiving seed provision on top of the training; and a control group. We found that both men and women experienced disempowerment, due to ethnicity and systemic ethnical marginalization. While no significant gender discrimination in resource access was found, women faced limited mobility, overburdened workload and diminished agencies. Empowerment experiences varied across ethnicities. The NSAs improved women’s mobility and group membership, yet carried different implications across ethnicities, potentially due to the interaction between the intervention, initial contextual conditions and the COVID-19 pandemic. Nevertheless, NSAs alone cannot achieve structural empowerment. Meaningful and lasting empowerment requires integrated approaches that address interconnected social, political, and cultural factors.

Year published

2026

Authors

Nguyen Thi, Lan Thuy; van den Berg, Marrit; Stomph, TjeerdJan; Nabuuma, Deborah; Kramer, Berber

Citation

Nguyen Thi, L.T.; van den Berg, M.; Stomph, T.; Nabuuma, D.; Kramer, B. (2025) Empowerment unveiled: Gender dynamics and the impact of nutrition-sensitive agriculture interventions among ethnic minority groups in northern Vietnam. Journal of Rural Studies 122: 103948. ISSN: 0743-0167

Keywords

The Socialist Republic of Viet Nam; Asia; South-eastern Asia; Agriculture; Agricultura; Gender Equity; Equidad De Género; Igualdad Social; Families; Social Equality; Agencies; Relación Intrafamiliar

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Market Intelligence

Record type

Journal Article

Working Paper

Community and household shocks and coping strategies: Findings from the ninth round of the Myanmar Household Welfare Survey (April – October 2025)

2026van Asselt, Joanna; Aung, Zin Wai
Details

Community and household shocks and coping strategies: Findings from the ninth round of the Myanmar Household Welfare Survey (April – October 2025)

The ninth round of the Myanmar Household Welfare Survey (MHWS), a nationally and regionally representative phone survey, was conducted between July and October 2025. This round follows eight previous rounds carried out since December 2021 and reflects conditions during April – October 2025. This report presents updated evidence on the conflict, climatic, service, and economic shocks households face and the coping strategies they adopt. In April–October 2025, insecurity and lawlessness intensified across Myanmar. About 21 percent of households reported feeling insecure, an increase from late 2024, with rural insecurity exceeding urban levels for the first time. Trust deteriorated sharply, with 25 percent reporting low community trust. Lawlessness remained widespread: 16 percent reported gambling, 16 percent petty crime, and 13 percent drug use. Urban areas were disproportionately affected by petty crime, bribery, and mobility constraints, while perceived conscription risk rose markedly, exceeding 40 percent in some regions. Climatic shocks continued to compound conflict-related stressors. About 19 percent of farm households reported being negatively affected by at least one climatic shock between April and October 2025. Flooding was the dominant shock, affecting 13 percent of households nationally, with particularly high exposure in Kayin, Shan, Bago, and Magway. Irregular rainfall and strong winds were less prevalent but remained locally significant, especially in Chin and Mon, reinforcing spatial disparities in vulnerability. Climatic shocks continued to compound conflict-related stressors. About 19 percent of farm households reported being negatively affected by at least one climatic shock between April and October 2025. Flooding was the dominant shock, affecting 13 percent of households nationally, with particularly high exposure in Kayin, Shan, Bago, and Magway. Irregular rainfall and strong winds were less prevalent but remained locally significant, especially in Chin and Mon, reinforcing spatial disparities in vulnerability. Economic pressures remained high despite modest improvements. About 37 percent of households reported being negatively affected by high food prices, similar to 2023 levels but slightly lower than late 2024. Price shocks were highly uneven, exceeding 50 percent in conflict-affected regions. Fuel price shocks affected 33 percent of households, declining from late 2024 as prices stabilized, though impacts remained severe in conflict-affected regions. Households continued to cope by reducing expenditures. Reductions in non-food spending were more common than cuts to food consumption across all regions. Conflict-affected states recorded the highest shares of households reducing both food and non-food expenditures, often exceeding 40 percent. While fewer households reported cutting back on staples and vegetables, most continued to reduce consumption of meat and fish, reflecting persistent affordability constraints for animal-source foods. Financial buffers remained extremely limited. Fewer than one in five households reported holding any cash savings. Borrowing was widespread, particularly among wage-earning households, with over half reporting outstanding debt. More than 50 percent of loans were sourced from friends and relatives, reflecting the near collapse of formal credit. Debt was primarily used for food, health, and basic needs, with a growing share allocated to medical expenses.

Year published

2026

Authors

van Asselt, Joanna; Aung, Zin Wai

Citation

van Asselt, Joanna; and Aung, Zin Wai. 2025. Community and household shocks and coping strategies: Findings from the ninth round of the Myanmar Household Welfare Survey (April – October 2025). Myanmar SSP Working Paper 74. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179640

Country/Region

Myanmar

Keywords

Asia; South-eastern Asia; Households; Communities; Shock; Economic Shock

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Working Paper

Brief

Fish for food security in Yemen: Insights from the Data in Emergencies survey

2026Dey, Durjoy; Belton, Ben; Kurdi, Sikandra; Ecker, Olivier
Details

Fish for food security in Yemen: Insights from the Data in Emergencies survey

Fish is the most frequently consumed animal-source food in Yemen, apart from dairy. Fish consumption is highest in coastal southern Yemen but also very common in southern inland districts. Nine percent of households in coastal southern Yemen earned income from fishing. Earning fishing income is highly positively associated with consumption of fish or meat and with the frequency of fish or meat consumption. Sustaining fish stocks and fishing livelihoods is critical to food security and nutrition in southern Yemen.

Year published

2026

Authors

Dey, Durjoy; Belton, Ben; Kurdi, Sikandra; Ecker, Olivier

Citation

Dey, Durjoy; Belton, Ben; Kurdi, Sikandra; and Ecker, Olivier. 2026. Fish for food security in Yemen: Insights from the Data in Emergencies survey. MENA Project Note 28. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179637

Country/Region

Yemen

Keywords

Asia; Western Asia; Fish; Food Security; Surveys; Fish Consumption; Fishing; Livelihoods

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Brief

Working Paper

School meals in the 21st century: Key evidence gaps and future directions

2026
Gelli, Aulo; Bell, Winnie; Bliznashka, Lilia; Eustacchio-Colombo, Patricia; Heirman, Jonas; Jones, Eleanor; Katundu, Mangani; Khincha, Roshni; Lerva, Benedetta; Lombardini, Simone
…more Schultz, Linda; Scott, Samuel P.; Wineman, Ayala; School Meal Evidence Priorities Collaborators
Details

School meals in the 21st century: Key evidence gaps and future directions

School meal programs are a widely implemented safety net with documented impacts across social protection, education, health and nutrition and high estimated returns to investment (Alderman et al., 2024). Globally, in 2022, these programs reached over 400 million children for a total investment of $70 billion a year(Global Child Nutrition Foundation, 2024). The School Meals Coalition (SMC) created in 2021 and involving 106 member countries, has brought momentum and new opportunities for school meals. Collaborative research activities by development partners from the SMC have included evidence generation, review and synthesis, and the identification of key research gaps on school meal programs. This article provides the basis for a common research agenda to support evidence generation aimed at improving action on sustainable school meal programs. These evidence gaps were generated through a series of activities including evidence reviews, expert consultations and stakeholder workshops undertaken by SMC partners.

Year published

2026

Authors

Gelli, Aulo; Bell, Winnie; Bliznashka, Lilia; Eustacchio-Colombo, Patricia; Heirman, Jonas; Jones, Eleanor; Katundu, Mangani; Khincha, Roshni; Lerva, Benedetta; Lombardini, Simone; Schultz, Linda; Scott, Samuel P.; Wineman, Ayala; School Meal Evidence Priorities Collaborators

Citation

Gelli, Aulo; Bell, Winnie; Bliznashka, Lilia; Eustacchio-Colombo, Patricia; Heirman, Jonas; et al. 2026. School meals in the 21st century: Key evidence gaps and future directions. IFPRI Working Paper. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179539

Keywords

School Feeding; Investment; Sustainability; Cost Analysis; Nutrition

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Working Paper

Report

Sudan prices and availability monitoring survey (SPAMS): Methodology, coverage, and value addition

2026Rakhy, Tarig; Siddig, Khalid
Details

Sudan prices and availability monitoring survey (SPAMS): Methodology, coverage, and value addition

Sudan is facing profound economic and market disruptions driven by prolonged conflict, political instability, and severe macroeconomic deterioration. These shocks have substantially undermined agricultural production, disrupted supply chains, and weakened market functioning across the country. Agriculture, which remains central to livelihoods, food security, and economic activity in Sudan, has been particularly affected by infrastructure damage, population displacement, rising input and transport costs, and increasing fragmentation of markets. In this context, food availability and affordability have become highly volatile, with wide spatial disparities across states and localities. Sudan is facing profound economic and market disruptions driven by prolonged conflict, political instability, and severe macroeconomic deterioration. These shocks have substantially undermined agricultural production, disrupted supply chains, and weakened market functioning across the country. Agriculture, which remains central to livelihoods, food security, and economic activity in Sudan, has been particularly affected by infrastructure damage, population displacement, rising input and transport costs, and increasing fragmentation of markets. In this context, food availability and affordability have become highly volatile, with wide spatial disparities across states and localities.

Year published

2026

Authors

Rakhy, Tarig; Siddig, Khalid

Citation

Rakhy, Tarig; and Siddig, Khalid. 2025. Sudan prices and availability monitoring survey (SPAMS): Methodology, coverage, and value addition. Sudan Market Prices and Availability Report. Khartoum, Sudan: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179544

Country/Region

Sudan

Keywords

Africa; Northern Africa; Capacity Building; Prices; Value Added; Data Collection

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Report

Report

Household-level impacts of the March 2025 earthquake in Myanmar: Findings from the ninth round of the Myanmar Household Welfare Survey (July-October 2025)

2026van Asselt, Joanna; Ei Win, Hnin; Aung, Zin Wai
Details

Household-level impacts of the March 2025 earthquake in Myanmar: Findings from the ninth round of the Myanmar Household Welfare Survey (July-October 2025)

This report presents key findings on the impacts of the earthquake that hit Myanmar on March 28, 2025, along with insights into the ongoing recovery, based on the ninth round of the Myanmar Household Welfare Survey (MHWS), a nationally and regionally representative phone survey. This survey was conducted between July and October 2025, with a recall period covering April to October.

Year published

2026

Authors

van Asselt, Joanna; Ei Win, Hnin; Aung, Zin Wai

Citation

van Asselt, Joanna; Ei Win, Hnin; and Aung, Zin Wai. 2025. Household-level impacts of the March 2025 earthquake in Myanmar: Findings from the ninth round of the Myanmar Household Welfare Survey (July-October 2025). Myanmar SSP Research Note 128. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179543

Country/Region

Myanmar

Keywords

Asia; South-eastern Asia; Households; Earthquakes; Natural Disasters; Economic Impact; Social Protection

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Report

Preprint

Divergent energy transitions: Agricultural mechanization and domestic energy poverty among farming households in rural Pakistan

2026Raja, Sehrish; Alvi, Muzna; Ringler, Claudia
Details

Divergent energy transitions: Agricultural mechanization and domestic energy poverty among farming households in rural Pakistan

According to the food-energy-water nexus framework, energy choices in both agriculture and household domains are connected, and affect water access, agricultural production, household consumption patterns, and ultimately food security. This study examines dual energy portfolios among farming households in Rahim Yar Khan district, in Punjab, Pakistan. Using cross-sectional data from 1018 households, we analyze how the distinct but interconnected energy domains onfarm and at-home, relate to household wealth and location, but follow fundamentally different transition trajectories. We find that a majority of households use mechanization on farms, including the use of irrigation pumps, threshers and tractors. Mechanization increases with household wealth and farm size, confirming the energy ladder hypothesis. However, for the same households, domestic clean energy access remains limited across all wealth categories and farm sizes, with only 6% using clean cooking and heating energy. The findings reveal that agricultural and domestic energy transitions are proceeding at different paces among the same households, with implications for integrated energy policy. Our study highlights the need for policies that address both agricultural and domestic energy needs simultaneously while considering the trade-offs and synergies between these domains within household resource constraints.

Year published

2026

Authors

Raja, Sehrish; Alvi, Muzna; Ringler, Claudia

Citation

Raja, Sehrish; Alvi, Muzna; and Ringler, Claudia. 2025. Divergent energy transitions: Agricultural mechanization and domestic energy poverty among farming households in rural Pakistan. Research Square Preprint. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-8404225/v1

Country/Region

Pakistan

Keywords

Southern Asia; Asia; Climate Change; Irrigation; Mechanization; Energy; Households

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Preprint

Dataset

Clustering for Global Market Access in Bangladesh: Follow-Up Phone Survey

2026International Food Policy Research Institute
Details

Clustering for Global Market Access in Bangladesh: Follow-Up Phone Survey

This phone survey dataset is a follow-up to the Clustering for Global Market Access Survey, a two-round panel of 1,222 shrimp farmers in the southern Bangladesh districts of Bagerhat, Khulna, and Satkhira. The objective of the phone survey was to investigate cluster survival (following the end of the cluster implementation project), and what characteristics and dynamics distinguish surviving clusters from those that do not. This dataset also forms part of a mixed-methods undertaking that included qualitative case studies among cluster farmers. Data was collected at the cluster level between May-June 2025, with a “cluster” being a set of 20-25 farmers per village, defined by the cluster organizer. The respondents are cluster leads (presidents or secretaries) in 68 shrimp farming clusters as covered in the previous in-person panel rounds – 60 operated by the Department of Fisheries (DoF), and 4 each by the Bangladesh Shrimp and Fish Foundation (BSFF) and a private sector actor.

Year published

2026

Authors

International Food Policy Research Institute

Citation

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). 2026. Clustering for Global Market Access in Bangladesh: Follow-Up Phone Survey. Washington, DC: IFPRI [dataset]. https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/AYKN1Z. Harvard Dataverse. Version 1.

Country/Region

Bangladesh

Keywords

Southern Asia; Asia; Aquaculture; Shrimp Culture; Value Chains; Market Access; Food Security; Dietary Diversity; Credit; Labour; Income

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Gender Equality

Record type

Dataset

Dataset

Replication Data for Persistence of Individual and Social Preferences in Rural Settings

2026International Food Policy Research Institute; Escuela Superior Politécnica del Litoral
Details

Replication Data for Persistence of Individual and Social Preferences in Rural Settings

This dataset contains the replication data files for the paper Persistence of Individual and Social Preferences in Rural Settings. The study examines the stability of individual and social preferences in rural settings, using the COVID-19 pandemic as a major global shock. The data comprise a panel of 1,262 agricultural households located across 86 communities in the departments of Huehuetenango, Quich, and San Marcos in Guatemala. Households were interviewed in person at baseline in November-December 2019 and subsequently followed through three annual phone surveys conducted in May-June 2020, 2021, and 2022 to assess the impacts of COVID-19 on individual and social preferences. The dataset includes information on self-reported preference indicators, as well as household socioeconomic characteristics, dwelling characteristics, asset ownership, and agricultural activities, along with contextual variables measured at the household, community, and municipality levels.

Year published

2026

Authors

International Food Policy Research Institute; Escuela Superior Politécnica del Litoral

Citation

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI); Escuela Superior Politécnica del Litoral (ESPOL). 2026. Replication Data for “Persistence of Individual and Social Preferences in Rural Settings”. Washington, DC: IFPRI [dataset]. https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/H99OW4. Harvard Dataverse. Version 1.

Country/Region

Guatemala

Keywords

Central America; Latin America and the Caribbean; Americas; Covid-19; Extreme Weather Events; Risk; Rural Areas; Stability

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Dataset

Journal Article

The effect of teacher training and community literacy programming on teacher and student outcomes

2026Chimbutane, Feliciano; Karachiwalla, Naureen; Herrera-Almanza, Catalina; Leight, Jessica; Lauchande, Carlos
Details

The effect of teacher training and community literacy programming on teacher and student outcomes

Motivated by extremely low levels of basic reading skills in sub-Saharan Africa, we experimentally evaluate two interventions designed to enhance students’ early-grade literacy performance in rural Mozambique: a relatively light-touch, scalable teacher training in early-grade literacy including the provision of pedagogical materials, and teacher training and materials in conjunction with community-level reading camps. Using data from 1,596 third graders in 160 rural public primary schools, we find no evidence that either intervention improved teachers’ pedagogical knowledge or practices or student or teacher attendance following two years of implementation. There are some weak positive effects on student reading as measured by a literacy assessment, primarily observed in a shift away from scores of zero, and these effects are consistent across arms. Our findings are aligned with the growing consensus that more intensive school- and/or community-based interventions are required to meaningfully improve learning.

Year published

2026

Authors

Chimbutane, Feliciano; Karachiwalla, Naureen; Herrera-Almanza, Catalina; Leight, Jessica; Lauchande, Carlos

Citation

Chimbutane, Feliciano; Karachiwalla, Naureen; Herrera-Almanza, Catalina; Leight, Jessica; and Lauchande, Carlos. 2025. The effect of teacher training and community literacy programming on teacher and student outcomes. Journal of Development Economics 178(January 2026): 103578. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103578

Country/Region

Mozambique

Keywords

Africa; Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Education; Learning; Literacy; Teacher Training

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Agricultural technology adoption and deforestation: Evidence from a randomized control trial

2026Bloem, Jeffrey R.; Lundberg, Clark
Details

Agricultural technology adoption and deforestation: Evidence from a randomized control trial

We study the effect of the adoption of improved agricultural inputs on deforestation using a randomized control trial in Nigeria which introduced a more efficient and environmentally-friendly nitrogen fertilizer. We combine survey data from the intervention with earth observation data to develop a generalizable method for evaluating the effects of cluster-level interventions on landscape-level outcomes. We find evidence of an intensification response to treatment exposure that reflects significant heterogeneity across land cover. On land with relatively sparse pre-intervention tree cover, treatment exposure increased deforestation while in denser forest areas the intervention reduced deforestation. We find corresponding effects showing treatment exposure increases agricultural productivity. Our results reflect an intensification response to improved agricultural technology that redirects agricultural activity away from forests and towards existing cropland.

Year published

2026

Authors

Bloem, Jeffrey R.; Lundberg, Clark

Citation

Bloem, Jeffrey R.; and Lundberg, Clark. 2026. Agricultural technology adoption and deforestation: Evidence from a randomized control trial. Journal of Development Economics 178(January 2026): 103600. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103600

Country/Region

Nigeria

Keywords

Africa; Western Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Agricultural Technology; Data; Deforestation; Nitrogen Fertilizer; Surveys

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Rethinking Food Markets

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Understanding social safety nets and intra-household food allocation: Experimental evidence from Bangladesh

2026Coleman, Fiona M.; Ahmed, Akhter; Roy, Shalini; Hoddinott, John F.
Details

Understanding social safety nets and intra-household food allocation: Experimental evidence from Bangladesh

Evidence shows that social protection can improve diets, but little is known about how impacts vary within households, the extent to which the modality of the transfer affects how it is distributed across all household members, whether adding training on the importance of nutrition and diets alters the way transfer resources are allocated within the household, relative to a transfer alone, and if differences in allocations are shaped by differences in livelihood opportunities. We use individual food intake data from two randomized control trials fielded in rural Bangladesh to address these questions. Our results overwhelmingly demonstrate that food gains are distributed equally, regardless of the type of transfers households received (cash, food, or combination), inclusion of nutrition training, regional context, or specific dietary outcome measured. These patterns of findings hold when we consider several extensions: (1) analyzing more aggregated demographic groups; (2) considering alternative measures of diet; (3) analyzing shares rather than levels; (4) considering impacts relative to deprivation at baseline; (5) analyzing impacts on non-food outcomes that can be assigned demographically; (6) re-estimating impacts using alternate samples and alternate estimation models. Where the few significant differences are found, they are often small in magnitude and in favor of children.

Year published

2026

Authors

Coleman, Fiona M.; Ahmed, Akhter; Roy, Shalini; Hoddinott, John F.

Citation

Coleman, Fiona M.; Ahmed, Akhter U.; Roy, Shalini; and Hoddinott, John. 2025. Understanding social safety nets and intra-household food allocation: Experimental evidence from Bangladesh. Journal of Development Economics 178(January 2026): 103585. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103585

Country/Region

Bangladesh

Keywords

Asia; South-eastern Asia; Social Safety Nets; Resource Allocation; Gender Equity; Cash Transfers; Diet; Gender; Social Protection

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-NC-ND-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Transfers, information and management advice: Direct effects and complementarities in Malawi

2026Ambler, Kate; de Brauw, Alan; Godlonton, Susan
Details

Transfers, information and management advice: Direct effects and complementarities in Malawi

We examine a program designed to alleviate credit, information, and farm management constraints among smallholder cash crop farmers through transfers and a cross-randomized program offering intensive agricultural extension. We document strong complementarities between the two sets of interventions. Investment driven by increased labor expenditures, production, and consumption are highest for farmers that received both transfers and intensive extension, a pattern that persists two and three years later. In the short run, transfers alone led to the reallocation of input expenditures into increased labor for cash crop cultivation, which led to increased production of project focal crops but not total crop production. While farmers in the transfers only group continue to spend more on labor in subsequent seasons, this does not lead to changes in production or consumption, suggesting that the support of the intensive extension was important for the generation of the largest welfare gains from the transfers.

Year published

2026

Authors

Ambler, Kate; de Brauw, Alan; Godlonton, Susan

Citation

Ambler, Kate; de Brauw, Alan; and Godlonton, Susan. 2026. Transfers, information and management advice: Direct effects and complementarities in Malawi. Journal of Development Economics 178(January 2026): 103601. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103601

Country/Region

Malawi

Keywords

Africa; Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Agriculture; Extension; Cash Transfers; Inputs; Smallholders; Advisory Services

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Policies, Institutions, and Markets

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Increasing women’s empowerment: Evaluating two interventions in Uganda

2026Ambler, Kate; Jones, Kelly M.; O’Sullivan, Michael
Details

Increasing women’s empowerment: Evaluating two interventions in Uganda

We conduct a randomized controlled trial to test a novel intervention for increasing women’s empowerment in Uganda. The intervention includes a within-household transfer of a productive asset, which has a lower cost than an external transfer. We find that transferring control of some of the household’s sugarcane to the wife significantly increases her access to resources and decision-making power. We also document increases in women’s empowerment arising from a cross-randomized couples’ workshop that improved women’s self-concept and shifted beliefs in gender equality. We find no additional impacts from combining the two interventions. Importantly, neither intervention harms the household’s productivity or husbands’ welfare. In fact, men (and women) report higher marital quality and life satisfaction as a result. However, despite increasing women’s empowerment we find no evidence that the interventions increased measured household investment in food security, child health, or education.

Year published

2026

Authors

Ambler, Kate; Jones, Kelly M.; O’Sullivan, Michael

Citation

Ambler, Kate; Jones, Kelly M.; and O’Sullivan, Michael. 2026. Increasing women’s empowerment: Evaluating two interventions in Uganda. Journal of Development Economics 178(January 2026): 103575. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103575

Country/Region

Uganda

Keywords

Africa; Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Women’s Empowerment; Households; Assets; Sugar Cane; Workshops; Gender Equality; Gender; Randomized Controlled Trials

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-NC-ND-3.0

Project

Policies, Institutions, and Markets

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

How much do our neighbors really know? The limits of community-based targeting

2026Trachtman, Carly; Permana, Yudistira Hendra; Sahadewo, Gumilang Aryo
Details

How much do our neighbors really know? The limits of community-based targeting

Social assistance programs in developing countries often rely on local community members to identify potential beneficiaries. As community members may observe neighbors’ welfare, their reports may capture transitory shocks better than the proxies typically observable by a centralized policy implementer. To test this, we conduct a lab-style experiment in Central Java, in which participants rank other community members’ welfare, using benchmarks that vary in sensitivity to transitory shocks, and target small cash transfers. We find little evidence that community-held welfare information better reflects transitory shocks and find that targeting decisions mostly depend on perceived differences in overall wealth. JEL Codes: O12, I32, D83

Year published

2026

Authors

Trachtman, Carly; Permana, Yudistira Hendra; Sahadewo, Gumilang Aryo

Citation

Trachtman, Carly; Permana, Yudistira Hendra; and Sahadewo, Gumilang Aryo. 2025. How much do our neighbors really know? The limits of community-based targeting. Journal of Development Economics 178(January 2026): 103555. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103555

Country/Region

Indonesia

Keywords

Asia; South-eastern Asia; Oceania; Community Development; Policy Innovation; Poverty; Targeting

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Constraints and promising interventions to strengthen fish seed systems in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Ghana

2026Ragasa, Catherine; Kruijssen, Froukje; Agyakwah, Seth Koranteng; Mensah, Emmanuel Tetteh-Doku; Asmah, Ruby; Ataa-Asantewaa, Martha; Amewu, Sena; Loison, Sarah Alobo
Details

Constraints and promising interventions to strengthen fish seed systems in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Ghana

CONTEXT Aquaculture has surpassed capture fisheries in terms of production and is among the fastest growing food sectors. It has great potential to contribute to food security and nutrition, poverty reduction, jobs, and environmental sustainability. Fish seed is increasingly considered to be a major driver and disabler of aquaculture development. However, little is known about how fish seed systems operate, their challenges and opportunities, or entry points for strengthening them. OBJECTIVE This study analyzes primary data on the challenges and opportunities faced by various actors along the fish seed chain, documents the lessons from a fish seed project (Ghana Tilapia Seed Project, 2019–2022), and provides an analysis of entry points for strengthening fish seed systems. METHODS Using an analytical framework that tracks germplasm base, seed production and quality, seed availability and distribution, and the information flow along the fish seed value chain, we analyze the case of Ghana, the top producer of farmed tilapia in sub-Saharan Africa. The study uses a mixed-methods approach, including value chain analysis, action-oriented research methods, and statistical analysis of survey data. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS Findings indicate that the initial rapid growth in tilapia production in Ghana was partly due to an improved local strain released in 2004; however, the recent stagnation is largely caused by seed-related issues (poor maintenance and improvement of germplasm base, seed quality and availability, lack of information and coordination, and lack of enforcement of regulations). This study highlights the successes and lessons learned from the Ghana Tilapia Seed Project on broodstock distribution, training on fingerling production, establishment of nurseries, and training of fish farmers. The lessons highlight the need for policy changes and capacity building related to strain development and broodstock management. SIGNIFICANCE These findings fill the large gap in evidence on the functioning of fish seed systems and how to strengthen them. They can directly inform ongoing country-level efforts and programs aiming to develop aquaculture.

Year published

2026

Authors

Ragasa, Catherine; Kruijssen, Froukje; Agyakwah, Seth Koranteng; Mensah, Emmanuel Tetteh-Doku; Asmah, Ruby; Ataa-Asantewaa, Martha; Amewu, Sena; Loison, Sarah Alobo

Citation

Ragasa, Catherine; Kruijssen, Froukje; Agyakwah, Seth Koranteng; Mensah, Emmanuel Tetteh-Doku; Asmah, Ruby; Ataa-Asantewaa, Martha; et al. 2025. Constraints and promising interventions to strengthen fish seed systems in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Ghana. Agricultural Systems 231(January 2026): 104511. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2025.104511

Country/Region

Ghana

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Aquaculture; Capacity Development; Fish; Hatcheries; Seed Systems

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Seed Equal

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

COVID-19 and rural livelihoods: Lessons from a longer-term assessment and the path to recovery

2026Berrospi, Maria Lucia; Ceballos, Francisco; Hernandez, Manuel A.; Paz, Cynthia
Details

COVID-19 and rural livelihoods: Lessons from a longer-term assessment and the path to recovery

The COVID-19 pandemic had profound effects on livelihoods across rural populations worldwide. Building on earlier work that examined the initial effects of the pandemic on food security and nutrition among smallholder agricultural households in the Western Highlands of Guatemala, this study offers a longer-term assessment of the impacts and the path to recovery. We rely on a unique longitudinal survey of 1,262 households conducted over four rounds between 2019 and 2022, with the first round in person and the subsequent ones by phone. The results show substantial recoveries in food security and dietary diversity in the region by mid-2022 compared to 2020, but at levels still worse than pre-pandemic ones for some indicators. There is also a sustained increase in the intention to emigrate. The households that were initially more affected in terms of food security and nutrition but recovered faster include those located in one of the three studied departments and families living above the poverty line, while smallholders affected by hurricanes, non-coffee producers, and indigenous populations took longer to recover. We additionally provide quantitative estimates for a subsample of households interviewed in person during a fifth survey round at the end of 2022, showing an average decline of about 16 percent in total household income three years after the start of the pandemic, mainly driven by a decrease in agricultural income, combined with a 26-percent increase in expenditures and an important surge in indebtedness. Overall, the study offers valuable lessons regarding the recovery of vulnerable households following a major global crisis and in a context of additional shocks.

Year published

2026

Authors

Berrospi, Maria Lucia; Ceballos, Francisco; Hernandez, Manuel A.; Paz, Cynthia

Citation

Berrospi, Maria Lucia; Ceballos, Francisco; Hernandez, Manuel A.; and Paz, Cynthia. 2026. COVID-19 and rural livelihoods: Lessons from a longer-term assessment and the path to recovery. World Development 197(January 2026): 107200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107200

Country/Region

Guatemala

Keywords

Americas; Latin America and the Caribbean; Covid-19; Livelihoods; Food Security; Dietary Diversity; Migration; Expenditure; Shock; Rural Areas

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Estimating multidimensional development resilience

2026Lee, Seungmin; Abay, Kibrom A.; Barrett, Christopher B.; Hoddinott, John F.
Details

Estimating multidimensional development resilience

Existing measures of resilience are typically based on a single well-being indicator. This is problematic in contexts where households face deprivations across multiple dimensions. We develop a multidimensional resilience measure, integrating probabilistic moment-based resilience measurement approaches with multidimensional poverty measurement methods. Applying these to household panel data from Ethiopia, we show that univariate and multidimensional resilience measures based on expenditure-based poverty, dietary diversity, and livestock asset holdings can yield varied inferences on the ranking of households as well as potential impact of development interventions. Univariate resilience measures constructed using consumption expenditure, dietary diversity and livestock asset holdings show distinct temporal and spatial distributional patterns. But while univariate measures are weakly correlated with one another and with different well-being metrics, multivariate measures exhibit much stronger rank correlations. When we contrast univariate measures of resilience to multidimensional measures of resilience, we find that the latter vary less over the study period; multidimensional resilience measures seem to capture more “persistent or structural” vulnerability and associated capacity of households. We also demonstrate the differences in these univariate and multivariate measures, including the potential of the composite multidimensional resilience measures for supporting targeting processes.

Year published

2026

Authors

Lee, Seungmin; Abay, Kibrom A.; Barrett, Christopher B.; Hoddinott, John F.

Citation

Lee, Seungmin; Abay, Kibrom A.; Barrett, Christopher B.; and Hoddinott, John. 2025. Estimating multidimensional development resilience. Journal of Development Economics 178(January 2026): 103583. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103583

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Africa; Eastern Africa; Data; Development; Households; Resilience

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-NC-ND-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Book Chapter

Agricultural mechanization

2026Takeshima, Hiroyuki
Details

Agricultural mechanization

Year published

2026

Authors

Takeshima, Hiroyuki

Citation

Takeshima, Hiroyuki. 2026. Agricultural mechanization. In Encyclopedia of Agriculture and Food Systems (Third Edition), ed. Peter Alexander. Volume 2, Pp. 61-88. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-443-15976-3.00080-5

Keywords

Agricultural Mechanization; Agricultural Technology; Farming Systems

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Book Chapter

Journal Article

Higher altitude stunts children’s physical growth: A systematic review and meta-analysis

2026Debebe, Wondwosen; Alem, Addis; Abebe, Melese Shenkut; Bihonegn, Mohammed Derso; Abdu, Hussen; Bayileyegn, Nebiyou Simegnew; Beyene, Altaseb; Zerfu, Taddese Alemu; Bete, Betemariam Girma; Tareke, Amare Abera
Details

Higher altitude stunts children’s physical growth: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Year published

2026

Authors

Debebe, Wondwosen; Alem, Addis; Abebe, Melese Shenkut; Bihonegn, Mohammed Derso; Abdu, Hussen; Bayileyegn, Nebiyou Simegnew; Beyene, Altaseb; Zerfu, Taddese Alemu; Bete, Betemariam Girma; Tareke, Amare Abera

Citation

Debebe, Wondwosen; Alem, Addis; Abebe, Melese Shenkut; Bihonegn, Mohammed Derso; Abdu, Hussen; et al. 2026. Higher altitude stunts children’s physical growth: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Next Research 3(January 2026): 101059. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nexres.2025.101059

Keywords

Altitude; Child Stunting; Hypoxia; Mineral Deficiencies; Disease Transmission

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

How can anticipatory action programming support women? Application of the reach-benefit-empower-transform framework in Nepal and Nigeria

2026Kosec, Katrina; Kyle, Jordan; Myers, Emily; Quisumbing, Agnes R.; Gonzales, Teresa; Madero, Ana; Mittrick, Caitlin; Rapadas, Amica
Details

How can anticipatory action programming support women? Application of the reach-benefit-empower-transform framework in Nepal and Nigeria

Year published

2026

Authors

Kosec, Katrina; Kyle, Jordan; Myers, Emily; Quisumbing, Agnes R.; Gonzales, Teresa; Madero, Ana; Mittrick, Caitlin; Rapadas, Amica

Citation

Kosec, Katrina; Kyle, Jordan; Myers, Emily; Quisumbing, Agnes; Gonzales, Teresa; Madero, Ana; Mittrick, Caitlin and Rapadas, Amica. 2026. How can anticipatory action programming support women? Application of the reach-benefit-empower-transform framework in Nepal and Nigeria. Journal of Rural Studies 121(January 2026): 103920. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jrurstud.2025.103920

Country/Region

Nepal; Nigeria

Keywords

Western Africa; Southern Asia; Gender; Climate Change; Shock; Anticipatory Action; Women; Interviews

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Exposure and disease burden of fumonisins and aflatoxins from sorghum consumption in Ethiopia

2026Sadik, J.A.; Fentahun, N.; Brouwer, Inge D.; Tessema, M.; Fels-Klerx, H.J.van der
Details

Exposure and disease burden of fumonisins and aflatoxins from sorghum consumption in Ethiopia

Studies on mycotoxin exposure from sorghum consumption and related public health risk estimation are rarely available in Ethiopia. The aim of this research was to assess fumonisin and aflatoxin exposure of adults through sorghum consumption in the Amhara National Regional State (ANRS) and at national level in Ethiopia and to estimate related health risks. Data on fumonisin and aflatoxin concentrations in sorghum samples were collected from a survey and literature. Estimated fumonisin exposure in the ANRS and at national level were below the FAO/WHO limit of 2000 ng/kg bw day to be considered a health concern. The estimated aflatoxin exposure levels in the ANRS and at national level fall below the Margin of Exposure value of 10000, indicating potential health concern. The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma due to aflatoxin exposure in the ANRS ranges from 0.0003 to 0.017 while at national level, it ranges from 0.181 to 8.47 (per100.000 persons/year). The related disability-adjusted life years estimates for the ANRS and at national level ranged from 0.0003 to 0.019 and 0.204 to 11.230, respectively. Aflatoxin exposures were driven more by sorghum intake than aflatoxin contamination. Dietary intervention could further reduce the health risk estimates.

Year published

2026

Authors

Sadik, J.A.; Fentahun, N.; Brouwer, Inge D.; Tessema, M.; Fels-Klerx, H.J.van der

Citation

Sadik, J.A.; Fentahun, N.; Brouwer, Inge D.; Tessema, M.; and Fels-Klerx, H.J.van der. 2026. Exposure and disease burden of fumonisins and aflatoxins from sorghum consumption in Ethiopia. Regulatory Toxicology and Pharmacology 164(January 2026): 105966. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.yrtph.2025.105966

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Eastern Africa; Plant Diseases; Fumonisins; Aflatoxins; Sorghum; Risk Management; Carcinoma

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Vouchers to increase fruit affordability in Nigeria and Vietnam

2026Ambler, Kate; Brouwer, Inge D.; de Brauw, Alan; Herskowitz, Sylvan; Mai, Truong Tuyet; Pastori, Giulia; Samuel, Folake; Shittu, Oluyemisi; Talsma, Elise F.
Details

Vouchers to increase fruit affordability in Nigeria and Vietnam

Although fruits are an important part of healthy diets, they are relatively expensive, so most individuals consume less than recommended. We use a randomized control trial to study a voucher program designed to improve the affordability of fruits in peri-urban and urban settings in Vietnam and Nigeria, and analyze whether vouchers can increase fruit consumption. The trial took place in 2021 among 601 households in Vietnam and 611 households in Nigeria. Vouchers were distributed between March and July in Vietnam and between June and November in Nigeria. In both contexts, a large majority of consumers who received vouchers used them. Following project conclusion, we find suggestive evidence of sustained increased fruit consumption only in Vietnam. In Nigeria, vouchers increased consumption of certain fruit categories during program implementation, but we find no evidence of sustained impacts. Fruit consumption is higher across the board in Vietnam, and the sample is wealthier overall, suggesting fruit affordability may not be a binding constraint for consumption. In Nigeria, the increase in consumption during the program along with a post-project decline suggest a lack of household resources to sustain consumption once the project concluded. The results suggest vouchers can improve consumption of healthy foods like fruits, but other actions are needed to make them more affordable in the longer term.

Year published

2026

Authors

Ambler, Kate; Brouwer, Inge D.; de Brauw, Alan; Herskowitz, Sylvan; Mai, Truong Tuyet; Pastori, Giulia; Samuel, Folake; Shittu, Oluyemisi; Talsma, Elise F.

Citation

Ambler, Kate; Brouwer, Inge D.; de Brauw, Alan; Herskowitz, Sylvan; Mai, Truong Tuyet; et al. 2026. Vouchers to increase fruit affordability in Nigeria and Vietnam. Social Science and Medicine 389(January 2026): 118848. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2025.118848

Country/Region

Nigeria; Vietnam

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Western Africa; Asia; South-eastern Asia; Social Protection; Fruits; Food Affordability; Food Prices; Food Consumption; Liquidity

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-NC-ND-3.0-IGO

Project

Sustainable Healthy Diets

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Gendered networks and demand for an agricultural technology in India

2026Gulati, Kajal; Magnan, Nicholas; Lybbert, Travis J.; Spielman, David J.
Details

Gendered networks and demand for an agricultural technology in India

Studies on social learning and technology adoption often only consider the networks of a single individual in a household as a source of information influencing agricultural production decisions. We test the validity of this assumption by examining the role of men’s and women’s social networks in the adoption of a novel water-saving technology, laser land leveling (LLL), in India. Using network data from men and women in the same household, we test the influence of being connected to an adopter on demand for LLL. We identify the causal gender-specific network effects using a field experiment that combines an auction with a lottery for the technology, making the presence of adopters in networks exogenous. The data reveal that men’s and women’s networks vary in size and show little overlap. We find that whereas household demand for LLL increases when men are linked to an LLL-adopting household, it decreases when the network linkages run through women. These gender-differentiated effects are concentrated in households where the woman’s opinion about the technology is valued by the man and in non-poor households. The results highlight that social learning may interact with the socio-demographic characteristics of households in myriad ways to influence household technology adoption decisions, and that agricultural-based information interventions ought to also consider how information gets used in the household. JEL classification: D13; Q12; Q16

Year published

2026

Authors

Gulati, Kajal; Magnan, Nicholas; Lybbert, Travis J.; Spielman, David J.

Citation

Gulati, Kajal; Magnan, Nicholas; Lybbert, Travis J.; and Spielman, David J. 2025. Gendered networks and demand for an agricultural technology in India. World Development 197(January 2026): 107182. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2025.107182

Country/Region

India

Keywords

Asia; Southern Asia; Agricultural Technology; Capacity Development; Gender; Social Networks; Technology Adoption

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Policies, Institutions, and Markets

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

The effect of using indigenous and scientific forecasts on arable farmers’ crop yields: Evidence from Rwenzori region, western Uganda

2026Nkuba, Michael Robert; Kato, Edward
Details

The effect of using indigenous and scientific forecasts on arable farmers’ crop yields: Evidence from Rwenzori region, western Uganda

Year published

2026

Authors

Nkuba, Michael Robert; Kato, Edward

Citation

Nkuba, Michael Robert; and Kato, Edward. 2026. The effect of using indigenous and scientific forecasts on arable farmers’ crop yields: Evidence from Rwenzori region, western Uganda. Environmental Development 57(January 2026): 101303. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envdev.2025.101303

Country/Region

Uganda

Keywords

Africa; Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Climate Change; Climate Change Adaptation; Crop Yield; Primary Forests; Propensity Score Matching; Weather

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

What are the economic and poverty implications for Sudan if the conflict continues through 2025?

2026Ahmed, Mosab O. M.; Raouf, Mariam; Siddig, Khalid
Details

What are the economic and poverty implications for Sudan if the conflict continues through 2025?

The ongoing conflict in Sudan, which began in April 2023, has triggered severe economic contractions, exacerbating poverty and unemployment while disrupting key sectors of the economy. This study employs an updated economywide database to assess the economic impact of a continued conflict through the end of 2025 under two scenarios of extreme and moderate contractions in the overall GDP. Our findings indicate that by the end of 2025, Sudan’s GDP would decline by 42% under the extreme scenario and 32% under the moderate scenario. The agrifood system would be particularly affected, with its GDP contracting by 33.6% and employment halving under the extreme scenario. Household incomes decline across all quintiles, with rural populations and women experiencing the sharpest losses. The national poverty rate is projected to rise by 19 percentage points under the extreme scenario, further deepening socioeconomic vulnerabilities. To mitigate the widespread adverse impacts of the conflict on the Sudanese economy, policies and interventions should prioritize the restoration of economic productivity, support the agrifood system and employment recovery strategies, and ensure that social protection measures are accessible to all households facing increased deprivation.

Year published

2026

Authors

Ahmed, Mosab O. M.; Raouf, Mariam; Siddig, Khalid

Citation

Ahmed, Mosab O. M.; Raouf, Mariam; and Siddig, Khalid. 2026. What are the economic and poverty implications for Sudan if the conflict continues through 2025? Journal of Development Studies 62(1): 106-127. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2025.2510642

Country/Region

Sudan

Keywords

Africa; Northern Africa; Economic Situation; Poverty; Conflicts; Armed Conflicts

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Using best-worst scaling to inform agroecological interventions in Western Kenya

2026Zander, Kerstin K.; Drucker, Adam G.; Aluso, Lillian; Mengistu, Dejene K.; Fadda, Carlo; Termote, Céline; Davis, Kristin E.
Details

Using best-worst scaling to inform agroecological interventions in Western Kenya

Both the demand for food and the environmental impacts of food production are estimated to significantly increase by 2050. Agroecological interventions have proven effective in facilitating the transition from current food production systems to more sustainable ones. These interventions can not only ensure more equitable food and nutritional security but also address poverty and reduce environmental impacts. As such, agroecological interventions can generate both private and public ecosystem services. Farmers play a key role in how food is produced, as the practices they use are linked with their preferences and expertise, as well as the constraints they face. Understanding farmers’ preferences for the adoption of different agroecological practices and their perceptions of the associated costs and benefits is critical to informing policies that can effectively support farmers in transitioning to more sustainable practices, including those that contribute to the generation of ecosystem services highly valued by broader society. To assess such preferences, we conducted a survey among farmers in Western Kenya which included a best-worst scaling experiment augmented by qualitative questions about the reasons for farmers’ views about the importance of the benefits arising from agroecological practices. Results show that farmers have strong preferences for adopting agroecological practices that generate private goods and are directly related to increasing productivity and food security, including improving health of household members. These may also include practices that have some public good elements as well, such as increasing agrobiodiversity. However, practices that generate broader public good benefits, including improved forest quality/coverage, reduced off-farm environmental impacts, greater community-level resilience to shocks, and improved landscape and wildlife management, were less important to farmers. Such findings can be used to inform policies that support farmer adoption of agroecological interventions best suited to different farming communities, as well as indicating the need for additional types of market-based incentives, such as through Payments for Ecosystem Service mechanisms.

Year published

2026

Authors

Zander, Kerstin K.; Drucker, Adam G.; Aluso, Lillian; Mengistu, Dejene K.; Fadda, Carlo; Termote, Céline; Davis, Kristin E.

Citation

Zander, Kerstin K.; Drucker, Adam G.; Drucker, Adam G.; Aluso, Lillian; Mengistu, Dejene K.; Fadda, Carlo; Termote, Céline; and Davis, Kristin. Using best-worst scaling to inform agroecological interventions in Western Kenya. Environment, Development and Sustainability. Article in press. First published online on June 28, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-024-05173-5

Country/Region

Kenya

Keywords

Africa; Eastern Africa; Agroecology; Sustainability; Farmers; Poverty; Farmers’ Attitudes; Ecosystem Services

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Nature-Positive Solutions

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

When water runs out: Adaptation to gradual environmental change in Indian agriculture

2026Fishman, Ram; Jain, Meha; Kishore, Avinash
Details

When water runs out: Adaptation to gradual environmental change in Indian agriculture

Increasing water scarcity will affect hundreds of millions of smallholder farmers in coming decades, but little is known about the likely forms of adaptation. This study exploits a natural experiment in which heterogeneous geological formations affect the rate of groundwater depletion across 40 villages in Gujarat, India, to provide novel evidence on this question. The analysis reveals that greater water scarcity leads to widespread declines in irrigated agriculture and enhanced migration to cities, but only among dominant socio-economic groups. No evidence is found of substantial compensating investments in water-efficient technologies or in human capital, despite farmers having long been aware of the decline in water levels.

Year published

2026

Authors

Fishman, Ram; Jain, Meha; Kishore, Avinash

Citation

Fishman, Ram; Jain, Meha; and Kishore, Avinash. When water runs out: Adaptation to gradual environmental change in Indian agriculture. World Bank Economic Review. Article in press. First published online June 13, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhaf012

Country/Region

India

Keywords

Asia; Southern Asia; Adaptation; Agriculture; Groundwater Depletion; Irrigation; Migration; Water Scarcity; Smallholders

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar

2026Goeb, Joseph; Minten, Bart; Aung, Zin Wai; Htar, May Thet; Sabai, Moe; Syntb, Kham Nang Lun; Zu, A Myint; Mahrt, Kristi
Details

Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar

Agrifood value chains (AVCs) play crucial roles in food security in fragile and conflict-affected economies where there are widespread challenges and disruptions to business operations, food access, and incomes. Yet, given these challenges, safe data collection is challenging in conflict-affected settings and, as a result, the evidence on the disruptions AVC businesses face is thin. In this paper, we rely on novel panel data from AVC businesses in Myanmar, one of 7 countries in the world with extreme conflict. This short paper documents the disruptions experienced by businesses at several levels of the food supply chain, including farmers, input retailers, crop traders, rice millers, and food vendors. We also provide evidence on the implications for prices by analyzing price changes over this period: farm input and sales prices using farm survey data, food retail using data from food vendors, and dietary cost estimates combining consumption and price data. Our results highlight vulnerabilities in food supply chains in fragile and conflict-affected settings. Potential opportunities to strengthen food supply chains in such settings include ensuring access to banking and financial services; minimizing transportation disruptions to mitigate widening gaps between producer and consumer prices; and maintaining access to fuel and electricity as well as cellphone internet networks. Efforts to support these areas could stabilize food availability and reduce food prices, while also increasing farm-gate shares of food prices thereby supporting rural incomes. JEL codes: Q13; Q11; 013

Year published

2026

Authors

Goeb, Joseph; Minten, Bart; Aung, Zin Wai; Htar, May Thet; Sabai, Moe; Syntb, Kham Nang Lun; Zu, A Myint; Mahrt, Kristi

Citation

Goeb, Joseph; Minten, Bart; Aung, Zin Wai; Htar, May Thet; Sabai, Moe; Synt, Kham Nang Lun; Zu, A Myint; and Mahrt, Kristi. Disruptions to agrifood value chains in fragile and conflict-affected states: Evidence from Myanmar. International Food and Agribusiness Management Review. Article in Press. First published online on May 5, 2025. https://doi.org/10.22434/ifamr.1204

Country/Region

Myanmar

Keywords

Asia; South-eastern Asia; Agrifood Systems; Value Chains; Conflicts; Food Security; Prices

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Saving lives through technology: Mobile phones and infant mortality

2026Mensah, Justice Tei; Tafere, Kibrom; Abay, Kibrom A.
Details

Saving lives through technology: Mobile phones and infant mortality

Year published

2026

Authors

Mensah, Justice Tei; Tafere, Kibrom; Abay, Kibrom A.

Citation

Mensah, Justice Tei; Tafere, Kibrom; and Abay, Kibrom A. Saving lives through technology: Mobile phones and infant mortality. Economic Development and Cultural Change. Article in Press. First published online July 28, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1086/737825

Keywords

Africa; Health Care; Infrastructure; Infants; Mortality; Digital Technology; Mobile Phones; Knowledge Sharing

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Diets, fruit and vegetables consumption, and nutritional status in Benin: A scoping review

2026Bliznashka, Lilia; Pather, Kamara; Mitchodigni, Irene M.; Hess, Sonja Y.; Olney, Deanna K.
Details

Diets, fruit and vegetables consumption, and nutritional status in Benin: A scoping review

Unhealthy diets, including low fruit and vegetables (F&V) intake, contribute to morbidity and mortality related to non-communicable diseases. Designing culturally appropriate interventions to improve diets and F&V intake requires an in-depth understanding of individual-level dietary patterns, household consumption patterns, and nutritional status resulting from inadequate F&V intake. In this scoping review, we summarised the literature on diets, F&V intake, and nutritional status in Benin. We searched PubMed from 2012 to August 2024 to identify articles on diets and nutritional status, and from 2002 to August 2024 to identify articles on F&V intake. We included 36 articles on diets, 27 on F&V intake, and 16 on nutritional status. Existing literature demonstrated that Beninese diets are cereal-based and monotonous, characterised by low diversity and low F&V intake across all population groups. Available evidence indicated a high burden of undernutrition in children <5 years of age, a rising prevalence of overnutrition in women of reproductive age, and a high prevalence of overnutrition in adults. Evidence on how diets and F&V intake vary by urban/rural location, season, and socioeconomic characteristics was limited and inconsistent. Two evaluations of garden irrigation programmes assessed impacts on women's dietary diversity and F&V consumption. Additional research is needed to improve our understanding of diets, F&V intake, and diet-related nutritional challenges and how they evolve over time and across different population groups. Understanding these gaps can help identify entry points and targets for interventions to improve diet quality and F&V intake in Benin.

Year published

2026

Authors

Bliznashka, Lilia; Pather, Kamara; Mitchodigni, Irene M.; Hess, Sonja Y.; Olney, Deanna K.

Citation

Bliznashka, Lilia; Pather, Kamara; Mitchodigni, Irene M.; Hess, Sonja Y.; and Olney, Deanna K. Diets, fruit and vegetables consumption, and nutritional status in Benin: A scoping review. Maternal and Child Nutrition. Article in Press. First published online on December 10, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1111/mcn.13747

Country/Region

Benin

Keywords

Sub-saharan Africa; Western Africa; Africa; Diet; Fruits; Vegetables; Non-communicable Diseases; Household Consumption; Nutrition; Research; Children; Women

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Fruit and Vegetables for Sustainable Healthy Diets

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Wholesalers and the transformation of the “hidden middle” of the aquaculture value chain in Bangladesh

2026Ali, Hazrat; Belton, Ben; Haque, Mohammad Mahfujul; Hernandez, Ricardo; Murshed-e-Jahan, Khondker; Ignowski, Liz; Reardon, Thomas
Details

Wholesalers and the transformation of the “hidden middle” of the aquaculture value chain in Bangladesh

The rapid growth of aquaculture in Bangladesh over the past 30 years has been accompanied by a proliferation of wholesalers. Wholesalers are often assumed in academic and public discourse to be exploitative and inefficient: extracting rents rather than driving technological change. This view gives rise to development programs that seek to bypass marketing intermediaries or upgrade their practices. However, there has been little rigorous research on the behavior of wholesalers and its implications for outcomes of value chain performance, including food security. To address this gap, we implemented a statistically representative survey of 229 aquatic food wholesalers in 31 markets in one of Bangladesh’s most important aquaculture zones. We found the following. (1) The wholesale segment of the aquaculture value chain has grown rapidly. (2) Markets are increasingly competitive, with open auctions leading to disintermediation and transparent pricing. (3) Wholesale businesses operate on thin margins. (4) Very little food loss or waste occurs in the farm, wholesale, or retail value chain segments in the study zone. (5) Trading aquaculture products generates substantial employment for men but little for women. Contrary to popular belief, the midstream of the aquaculture value chain in southern Bangladesh is dynamic and efficient. The paper contributes to a growing literature highlighting the contributions that micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) in the “hidden middle” segments of agri-food value chains make to food security.

Year published

2026

Authors

Ali, Hazrat; Belton, Ben; Haque, Mohammad Mahfujul; Hernandez, Ricardo; Murshed-e-Jahan, Khondker; Ignowski, Liz; Reardon, Thomas

Citation

Ali, Hazrat; Belton, Ben; Haque, Mohammad Mahfujul; Hernandez, Ricardo; Murshed-e-Jahan, Khondker; Ignowski, Liz; and Reardon, Thomas. Wholesalers and the transformation of the “hidden middle” of the aquaculture value chain in Bangladesh. Food Security. Article in press. First published on November 4, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-025-01605-w

Country/Region

Bangladesh

Keywords

Southern Asia; Aquaculture; Fish; Wholesale Markets; Surveys; Value Chains; Prices; Food Losses

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Asian Mega-Deltas

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Understanding the evidence gaps: Diets and fruit and vegetable intake across five diverse low- and middle-income countries

2026
Tharaney, Manisha; Hess, Sonja Y.; Bliznashka, Lilia; Amunga, Dorcas A.; Azupogo, Fusta; Koyratty, Nadia; Smith, Taryn J.; Angeles-Agdeppa, Imelda; Goyena, Eva A.; Grant, Frederick
…more Kinabo, Joyce; Mitchodigni, Irene Medeme; Silatolu, Anasaini Moala; Silva, Renuka; Hambayi, Mutinta; Perera, Thushanthi; Olney, Deanna K.
Details

Understanding the evidence gaps: Diets and fruit and vegetable intake across five diverse low- and middle-income countries

Poor dietary quality, particularly inadequate fruit and vegetable (F&V) intake, remains a significant public health challenge globally. This article synthesizes findings from scoping reviews examining diet and F&V intake, and interventions to increase F&V consumption among population groups in five countries: Benin, Fiji, the Philippines, Sri Lanka and Tanzania. Our analysis confirms previous findings of inadequate F&V intake across all five countries, with most adults consuming well below the WHO recommendations of 400 g per day. Across the five countries, the identified scientific evidence is limited due to heterogeneous dietary assessment methods, limited coverage of population groups in national surveys and smaller studies, and limited data from rigorous evaluations of interventions aiming to increase F&V intake. Although all five countries have developed food-based dietary guidelines promoting F&V intake, research on their implementation and effectiveness remains limited. To build evidence for effective programmes and policies to improve both quantity and diversity of F&V intake, we identify three priority areas for future research: standardizing dietary assessment methods for use in surveys and evaluations, understanding context-specific drivers and determinants of F&V intake and strengthening intervention research in low-resource settings.

Year published

2026

Authors

Tharaney, Manisha; Hess, Sonja Y.; Bliznashka, Lilia; Amunga, Dorcas A.; Azupogo, Fusta; Koyratty, Nadia; Smith, Taryn J.; Angeles-Agdeppa, Imelda; Goyena, Eva A.; Grant, Frederick; Kinabo, Joyce; Mitchodigni, Irene Medeme; Silatolu, Anasaini Moala; Silva, Renuka; Hambayi, Mutinta; Perera, Thushanthi; Olney, Deanna K.

Citation

Tharaney, Manisha; Hess, Sonja Y.; Bliznashka, Lilia; Amunga, Dorcas A.; Azupogo, Fusta; Koyratty, Nadia; et al. Understanding the evidence gaps: Diets and fruit and vegetable intake across five diverse low- and middle-income countries. Maternal and Child Nutrition. Article in press. First published online October 22, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/mcn.70117

Country/Region

Benin; Fiji; Philippines; Sri Lanka

Keywords

Tanzania; Africa; Western Africa; Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Oceania; Asia; Southern Asia; Consumption; Dietary Assessment; Dietary Guidelines; Diet Quality; Less Favoured Areas; Fruits; Vegetables

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Price and volatility transmission from international to domestic food and fertilizer markets in Central America

2026Hernandez, Manuel A.; Ceballos, Francisco; Berrospi, Maria Lucia; Perego, Viviana M. E.; Brown, Melissa; Lopez, Elena Mora
Details

Price and volatility transmission from international to domestic food and fertilizer markets in Central America

Recent global shocks have triggered sharp spikes in international food and fertilizer prices, raising concerns about their domestic impacts. This study examines the extent to which international price levels and volatility are transmitted to domestic food and fertilizer markets in seven Central American countries. We follow a multivariate GARCH approach using monthly data over the period 2000–2024. While results vary by country and commodity, we find overall low to moderate elasticities of price transmission in levels, but a stronger degree of volatility transmission in the very short term (1-month). Interestingly, price transmission tends to strengthen after 3 months, whereas volatility transmission is more short-lived and appears to dissipate. The co-movement between international and domestic prices shows no apparent trend over time and lacks consistency across countries and commodities following major global events. Back-of-the-envelope simulations of higher international food and fertilizer prices suggest modest, though non-negligible, impacts on local consumer and producer welfare. JEL Classification: Q02, Q11, C32

Year published

2026

Authors

Hernandez, Manuel A.; Ceballos, Francisco; Berrospi, Maria Lucia; Perego, Viviana M. E.; Brown, Melissa; Lopez, Elena Mora

Citation

Hernandez, Manuel A.; Ceballos, Francisco; Berrospi, Maria Lucia; Perego, Viviana M. E.; Brown, Melissa; and Lopez, Elena Mora. Price and volatility transmission from international to domestic food and fertilizer markets in Central America. Agricultural Economics. Article in press. First published online October 21, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70071

Country/Region

Costa Rica; El Salvador; Guatemala; Honduras; Nicaragua; Panama; Dominican Republic

Keywords

Americas; Central America; Fertilizers; Food Prices; Shock; Volatility; Prices; Econometrics

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

A descriptive analysis of smartphone access and frontline service delivery during the COVID-19 lockdown in Chhattisgarh, India

2026Singhania, Deepak; Khanna, Madhulika; Ashok, Sattvika; Bajaj, Sumati; Janin, Sameeksha; Singh, Anshu; Avula, Rasmi
Details

A descriptive analysis of smartphone access and frontline service delivery during the COVID-19 lockdown in Chhattisgarh, India

Year published

2026

Authors

Singhania, Deepak; Khanna, Madhulika; Ashok, Sattvika; Bajaj, Sumati; Janin, Sameeksha; Singh, Anshu; Avula, Rasmi

Citation

Singhania, Deepak; Khanna, Madhulika; Ashok, Sattvika; Bajaj, Sumati; Janin, Sameeksha; Singh, Anshu; and Avula, Rasmi. A Descriptive Analysis of Smartphone Access and Frontline Service Delivery During the COVID-19 Lockdown in Chhattisgarh, India. Journal of Health Management. Article in press. First Available Online December 1, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1177/09720634251396614

Country/Region

India

Keywords

Southern Asia; Asia; Mobile Phones; Covid-19; Services; Rural Areas; Health Care; Communication Technology; Movement Restrictions

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

A mixed‐method study on gender and intrahousehold differences in food consumption from Khatlon Province, Tajikistan

2026Pechtl, Sarah M. L.; Mardonova, Mohru; Ergasheva, Tanzila; Lambrecht, Isabel B.
Details

A mixed‐method study on gender and intrahousehold differences in food consumption from Khatlon Province, Tajikistan

Tajikistan faces significant food insecurity and multiple forms of malnutrition in its population, with women particularly at risk. Social norms related to gender and intrahousehold hierarchy are pervasive. Yet, how gender impacts dietary intake in Tajikistan remains to be studied. Understanding this mechanism is critical to develop adequate strategies for effective, equitable progress in mitigating malnutrition and food insecurity. An explanatory sequential mixed-methods study was conducted to assess the extent and identify the drivers of gender-based and intrahousehold differences in dietary diversity in Khatlon Province, Tajikistan. Predictors of dietary diversity were statistically assessed using quantitative survey data from 1704 adults who participated in the 2023 USAID/IFPRI Population-Based Survey. Qualitative data from 12 focus group discussions, 19 individual interviews, and 21 Photovoice interviews were analyzed using reflexive thematic analysis to further ascertain and understand these drivers. Gender was identified as a predictor of dietary diversity in both quantitative and qualitative findings. Women reported lower dietary diversity than men, even within in the same household. Gender norms contribute to unequal food distribution and opportunities to consume food away from the household. Expressing social values such as respect during mealtimes and perceptions of dietary needs prioritize men and children over women in consuming foods deemed more nutritious (e.g., meat). This study highlights the importance of considering household dynamics and gender roles in equitably addressing food and nutrition insecurity and malnutrition. Mitigating malnutrition in Tajikistan will necessitate gender equity-focused social behavior change interventions targeting women and men across different generations.

Year published

2026

Authors

Pechtl, Sarah M. L.; Mardonova, Mohru; Ergasheva, Tanzila; Lambrecht, Isabel B.

Citation

Pechtl, Sarah M. L.; Mardonova, Mohru; Ergasheva, Tanzila; and Lambrecht, Isabel B. A mixed‐method study on gender and intrahousehold differences in food consumption from Khatlon Province, Tajikistan. Maternal and Child Nutrition. Article in press. First published November 27, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/mcn.70133

Country/Region

Tajikistan

Keywords

Asia; Central Asia; Gender; Households; Food Consumption; Analytical Methods; Nutrition; Dietary Diversity

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Promoting regional income equity under structural transformation and climate change: An economywide analysis for Senegal

2026Mukashov, Askar; Thurlow, James
Details

Promoting regional income equity under structural transformation and climate change: An economywide analysis for Senegal

Year published

2026

Authors

Mukashov, Askar; Thurlow, James

Citation

Mukashov, Askar; and Thurlow, James. Promoting regional income equity under structural transformation and climate change: An economywide analysis for Senegal. Economic Systems. Article in press. First published online July 2, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2025.101328

Country/Region

Senegal

Keywords

Africa; Western Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Climate Change; Economic Analysis; Equity; Income

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Strengthening women’s resilience and participation in climate governance in the agrifood sector through public policies: A strategic review of literature

2026Mohammed, Kamaldeen; Najjar, Dina; Bryan, Elizabeth
Details

Strengthening women’s resilience and participation in climate governance in the agrifood sector through public policies: A strategic review of literature

Women are uniquely vulnerable to climate change but play a critical role in enhancing the climate resilience of the agrifood sector. Based on a rapid review of academic and grey literature, this paper synthesizes the state of knowledge on the level of integration of gender aspects in climate change policies and women’s involvement in policy processes in the Global South. It examines women’s participation in climate change governance, strategies for enhancing this participation, and policy approaches to strengthen women’s resilience while addressing gender inequalities. Findings show that public policies often employ quotas, incentives, and capacity building initiatives to boost women’s participation in governance. However, meaningful engagement in higher-level decision-making remains limited, with quotas sometimes resulting in superficial involvement. Facilitating women’s access to agrifood resources, human capital, and economic opportunities, as well as addressing harmful gender norms, are identified as effective strategies to build resilience. Despite these promising approaches, gaps remain in the implementation and evaluation of policies aimed at enhancing women’s resilience and participation. The paper concludes by recommending outcome-oriented research and robust evaluations of public policy effectiveness in improving women’s climate resilience and governance roles.

Year published

2026

Authors

Mohammed, Kamaldeen; Najjar, Dina; Bryan, Elizabeth

Citation

Mohammed, Kamaldeen; Najjar, Dina; and Bryan, Elizabeth. 2025. Strengthening women’s resilience and participation in climate governance in the agrifood sector through public policies: A strategic review of literature. Climate and Development. Article in press. First published online July 14, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2025.2533184

Keywords

Agrifood Sector; Climate Change; Climate Resilience; Gender; Resilience; Women; Governance; Public Policies; Women’s Participation; Global South

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-NC-ND-4.0

Project

Gender Equality

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Evaluating large-scale government investments in fertilizer adoption: The Ethiopian experience

2026Assefa, Thomas; McCullough, Ellen; Berhane, Guush
Details

Evaluating large-scale government investments in fertilizer adoption: The Ethiopian experience

We evaluate the impact of a large Government of Ethiopia intervention to raise fertilizer supply by establishing five fertilizer blending facilities supplying fertilizers tailored to local soil nutrient profiles. We rely on the phased geographic rollout of blending facility establishment to identify the causal effect on fertilizer use, application rates, crop yields, gross crop revenue, and household consumption. Combining effects of multiple treatment periods, each estimated using a doubly robust difference-in-difference model, we find that the blending facilities increased the probability that farmers adopt the new blended fertilizers by 22 percentage points and increased application rates by 17 kg/ha (baseline adoption was zero). The facilities mostly induced farmers who previously used DAP to switch to NPS, and we find large decreases in DAP adoption (by 22 percentage points, 47% of the control group base mean) and application rates (16 kg/ha, 52% of the control group base mean) yet no impact on overall fertilizer adoption or application rates. Though the new blended fertilizers were expected to perform better, there is no evidence they improved crop yields, crop gross revenue, or household consumption. The effect of the intervention was more pronounced (with larger increases in NPS use and larger decreases in DAP use) for farms located near demonstration plots, which the Government used to train farmers about the agronomic response to the new fertilizers. We confirm results using three large-scale longitudinal datasets and show that they are robust to choices of specification, treatment definition, and inference assumptions. JEL classification: O12, O13, Q16, Q18

Year published

2026

Authors

Assefa, Thomas; McCullough, Ellen; Berhane, Guush

Citation

Assefa, Thomas; McCullough, Ellen; and Berhane, Guush. Evaluating large-scale government investments in fertilizer adoption: The Ethiopian experience. American Journal of Agricultural Economics. Article in press. FIrst published online July 31, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.70007

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Africa; Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Agricultural Extension; Agricultural Technology; Fertilizer; Crop Yield; Market Access; Soil Fertility

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Diets, fruit and vegetable intake and nutritional status among children, adolescents and adults in the Philippines: A scoping review

2026Smith, Taryn J.; Angeles-Agdeppa, Imelda; Goyena, Eva; Gelli, Aulo; Olney, Deanna K.
Details

Diets, fruit and vegetable intake and nutritional status among children, adolescents and adults in the Philippines: A scoping review

Suboptimal diets contribute to the risk of malnutrition and non-communicable diseases across the life course. Globally, intakes of fruit and vegetables (F&V) fall below recommendations, including in the Philippines. To promote F&V intakes, understanding the extent of inadequate intakes across population groups and key drivers of dietary patterns is needed. This narrative scoping review was conducted to map the diet, F&V intakes and nutritional status in the Philippines. PubMed was searched using keywords specific to diet, F&V intake, and nutritional status, with 50, 24 and 22 articles meeting the inclusion criteria for diet, F&V intake, and nutritional status, respectively. Available evidence indicates that across all population and sociodemographic groups, diets lacked diversity, with high intakes of energy-dense, nutrient-poor foods, such as refined rice and sugar-based foods and beverages, contributing to inadequate micronutrient intakes. Intakes of F&V were especially low across all population groups. Stunting/short height, wasting and underweight were prevalent among children and adolescents, and micronutrient deficiencies (iron, zinc, vitamin A) were common among children < 5 years of age. More than one-quarter of adults were overweight or obese and demonstrated poor cardiometabolic health. A lack of published evidence identified through this search reported on pregnant and lactating women and women of reproductive age. Published evaluations assessing the impact of interventions or programmes to improve diets or F&V intake were limited. Additional research to fill these gaps will help design interventions and target entry points to improve diet diversity and F&V intakes across all population groups.

Year published

2026

Authors

Smith, Taryn J.; Angeles-Agdeppa, Imelda; Goyena, Eva; Gelli, Aulo; Olney, Deanna K.

Citation

Smith, Taryn J.; Angeles-Agdeppa, Imelda; Goyena, Eva; Gelli, Aulo; and Olney, Deanna K. Diets, fruit and vegetable intake and nutritional status among children, adolescents and adults in the Philippines: A scoping review. Maternal and Child Nutrition. Supplement Article in press. First published online December 13, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1111/mcn.13786

Country/Region

Philippines

Keywords

Asia; South-eastern Asia; Oceania; Adolescents; Adults; Dietary Diversity; Diet Quality; Fruits; Nutrition; Trace Elements; Vegetables

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Fruit and Vegetables for Sustainable Healthy Diets

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Income aspirations and migration: Evidence from rural Tajikistan

2026Bloem, Jeffrey R.; Lambrecht, Isabel B.; Akramov, Kamiljon T.
Details

Income aspirations and migration: Evidence from rural Tajikistan

In places with limited employment opportunities, households aspiring to increase their income are mainly left with two options: either (a) invest locally in their farm or non-farm enterprises, or (b) earn income elsewhere via migration. With survey data from 1,705 respondents from rural Tajikistan, we analyze the relationship between income aspirations and household investment strategies, and we contrast this to the relationship between income aspirations and international migration. We find evidence of a strong link between the income aspirations gap and international migration, but, strikingly, we do not observe any association between the income aspirations gap and local investment in farm or non-farm assets. These results suggest that households do not view local investment as a viable strategy for increasing income. Exploring heterogeneity, we find that these results can vary by household poverty status and household land endowments, but not by the respondent’s gender. Given the prominence of migration in the study area, this also suggests that remittances commonly serve different purposes than farm or non-farm investments — such as supporting households in their day-to-day expenditures or funding major ritual events.

Year published

2026

Authors

Bloem, Jeffrey R.; Lambrecht, Isabel B.; Akramov, Kamiljon T.

Citation

Bloem, Jeffrey R.; Lambrecht, Isabel B.; and Akramov, Kamiljon T. Income aspirations and migration: Evidence from rural Tajikistan. International Migration Review. Article in press. First published online on June 24, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1177/01979183251343885

Country/Region

Tajikistan

Keywords

Asia; Central Asia; Income; Migration; Rural Areas; Investment; Agriculture

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Commuting, transport infrastructure and gender: Evidence from Indian metros

2026Mahambare, Vidya; Dhanaraj, Sowmya; Srinivasan, Madhumitha; Christopher, Anita
Details

Commuting, transport infrastructure and gender: Evidence from Indian metros

JEL Classification: J60; J68; R41; R50

Year published

2026

Authors

Mahambare, Vidya; Dhanaraj, Sowmya; Srinivasan, Madhumitha; Christopher, Anita

Citation

Mahambare, Vidya; Dhanaraj, Sowmya; Srinivasan, Madhumitha; and Christopher, Anita. Commuting, transport infrastructure and gender: Evidence from Indian metros. Journal of Social and Economic Development. Article in press. First published online January 28, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40847-024-00413-w

Country/Region

India

Keywords

Asia; Southern Asia; Costs; Gender; Transport Infrastructure; Women

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Changes in height-for-age of Egyptian children from 1995 to 2014: Implications for improving child health outcomes

2026Hashad, Reem; Hassan, Zeinab A.
Details

Changes in height-for-age of Egyptian children from 1995 to 2014: Implications for improving child health outcomes

Background Stunting is a serious health problem in Egypt. Stunting rates and height-for-age z-score (HAZ) distributions changed notably in Egypt over time, yet the factors that led to these changes remain unknown. This study examines the factors associated with these changes and provides important considerations for designing interventions to achieve the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) of ending all forms of malnutrition by 2030. Methods Leveraging data from Egypt’s Demographic and Health Survey for the years 1995, 2003, and 2014, we employ a Recentered Influence Function (RIF) approach that goes beyond the conventional way of measuring stunting as a binary indicator to examine changes across the entire HAZ distribution. The RIF decomposes changes in the HAZ distribution over time into differences attributable to changes in the levels of the determinants of nutrition (covariate effects) and in the strength of the association between these determinants and HAZ (coefficient effects). Results The stylized facts show a puzzling increase in stunting rates despite improvements in the level of the determinants of nutrition. Our RIF results attribute the change in stunting rates and other parts of the HAZ distribution primarily to changes in the association between the determinants of nutrition and HAZ (coefficient effects) rather than in the level of the determinants (covariate effects). The results also show that the determinants of nutrition could have heterogeneous impacts at different quantiles of the HAZ distribution. Conclusion To reduce stunting rates and achieve the SDG of ending malnutrition, our findings highlight the need for targeted interventions. Interventions should be geographically targeted, promote gender and income equality, improve maternal nutrition, and expand access to better sanitation facilities. This is in addition to wealth redistribution and reforming Egypt’s subsidy program to focus on nutritious food.

Year published

2026

Authors

Hashad, Reem; Hassan, Zeinab A.

Citation

Hashad, Reem; and Hassan, Zeinab A. Changes in height-for-age of Egyptian children from 1995 to 2014: Implications for improving child health outcomes. BMC Public Health. Article in press. First available December 7, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-25696-4

Country/Region

Egypt

Keywords

Africa; Northern Africa; Children; Child Health; Anthropometry; Child Stunting

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-NC-ND-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Anaemia among mother-child dyads in India: Trends, drivers, and future projections

2026Pedgaonker, Sarang; Meher, Trupti; Gupta, Monali; Chakrabarti, Suman; Nguyen, Phuong Hong; Singh, Shri Kant; Dwivedi, Laxmi Kant; Aditi; Scott, Samuel P.
Details

Anaemia among mother-child dyads in India: Trends, drivers, and future projections

Anaemia among mothers and their children is a widespread public health challenge with profound consequences for individuals and societies. While anaemia has been studied separately in women and children, there remains a literature gap examining anaemia in mother-child dyads, limiting insights on interventions that may simultaneously address anaemia in both groups. Our study examines trends and drivers of anaemia among mother-child dyads (mothers aged 15–49 years and their children aged 6–59 months; N = 408,342) in India using nationally-representative data from 2006 to 2021 and estimates the potential future reduction in anaemia among mother-child dyads based on changes in selected drivers. We employed descriptive statistics, multivariable logistic regression and population attributable fraction (PAF) analysis. The co-occurrence of anaemia among mothers-child dyads changed very slightly, from 35% in 2006% to 33% in 2016 and to 37% in 2021. Subnational analyses revealed varying trends by states, with Delhi showing the highest increase (17%–32%) and Sikkim the largest decrease (29%–16%) between 2006 and 2021. Maternal education, regular consumption of nonvegetarian food and green leafy vegetables, consumption of iron folic acid supplements, utilization of government health services, and improved sanitation at both household and community levels were associated with lower likelihood of anaemia among mother-child dyads. The cumulative PAF suggested that addressing these factors collectively could reduce anaemia prevalence among mother-child dyads by 18% to 28% (under different scenarios) by 2030. The study underscores the need for comprehensive, multi-sectoral interventions targeting both maternal and child health to effectively combat anaemia in mother-child dyads.

Year published

2026

Authors

Pedgaonker, Sarang; Meher, Trupti; Gupta, Monali; Chakrabarti, Suman; Nguyen, Phuong Hong; Singh, Shri Kant; Dwivedi, Laxmi Kant; Aditi; Scott, Samuel P.

Citation

Pedgaonker, Sarang; Meher, Trupti; Gupta, Monali; Chakrabarti, Suman; Nguyen, Phuong Hong; et al. Anaemia among mother-child dyads in India: Trends, drivers, and future projections. Maternal and Child Nutrition. Article in press. First published online September 29, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/mcn.70106

Country/Region

India

Keywords

Asia; Southern Asia; Anaemia; Data; Maternal and Child Health; Public Health; Children; Mothers

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Cooperation and the management of local common resources in remote rural communities

2026Ward, Patrick S.; Alvi, Muzna; Makhija, Simrin; Spielman, David J.
Details

Cooperation and the management of local common resources in remote rural communities

It is widely recognized that local management of common pool resources can be more efficient and more effective than private markets or top-down government management, especially in remote rural communities in which the institutions may be weak or prone to elite capture. In this paper, we explore the propensity for cooperation in the management of local common resources by introducing a variant of a public goods game among remote rural communities in the state of Odisha, in eastern India. We explore various patterns of cooperation, including free riding behaviour, unconditional cooperation and conditional cooperation, in which individuals’ propensity toward cooperation is tied to their beliefs about the level of cooperation among their peers. We find that a significant portion of our sample fall into this latter category, but also that their expectations about the level of contributions among their peers are somewhat malleable. JEL classification: Q32, Q12, C72

Year published

2026

Authors

Ward, Patrick S.; Alvi, Muzna; Makhija, Simrin; Spielman, David J.

Citation

Ward, Patrick S.; Alvi, Muzna; Makhija, Simrin; and Spielman, David J. Cooperation and the management of local common resources in remote rural communities. Environment and Development Economics. Article in press. First published online October 9, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1355770X25100181

Country/Region

India

Keywords

Asia; Southern Asia; Cooperation; Management; Resources; Rural Areas

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Policies, Institutions, and Markets

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Representation increases women’s influence in climate deliberations: Evidence from community-managed forests in Malawi

2026Clayton, Amanda; Dulani, Boniface; Kosec, Katrina; Robinson, Amanda Lea
Details

Representation increases women’s influence in climate deliberations: Evidence from community-managed forests in Malawi

Women’s inclusion is now the norm in global and local initiatives to combat climate change. We examine how women’s representation affects climate deliberations using the case of community-managed forests in Malawi. We run a lab-in-the-field experiment randomly varying the gender composition of six-member groups asked to deliberate on policies to combat local overharvesting. We find that any given woman has relatively more influence in group deliberations when women make up a larger share of the group, a change driven by men’s assessments of women’s influence. Women’s presence also shifts the content of deliberations toward prospective solutions for which women have socially recognized expertise (cooking and replanting). Despite these changes, women and men do not prefer different deforestation policies, and women’s presence does not meaningfully affect group decisions. Our work demonstrates how women’s presence shapes climate deliberations but also calls into question claims that women’s inclusion will necessarily affect climate decisions.

Year published

2026

Authors

Clayton, Amanda; Dulani, Boniface; Kosec, Katrina; Robinson, Amanda Lea

Citation

Clayton, Amanda; Dulani, Boniface; Kosec, Katrina; and Robinson, Amanda Lea. Representation increases women’s influence in climate deliberations: Evidence from community-managed forests in Malawi. American Journal of Political Science. Article in press. First published online June 3, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12994

Country/Region

Malawi

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Eastern Africa; Women; Climate; Forest Governance; Gender; Deforestation; Capacity Development

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-NC-ND-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Unpacking the effects of conflict on fertilizer use and maize yields: Empirical evidence From Nigeria

2026Amare, Mulubrhan; Andam, Kwaw S.; Balana, Bedru; Olanrewaju, Opeyemi; Omamo, Steven Were
Details

Unpacking the effects of conflict on fertilizer use and maize yields: Empirical evidence From Nigeria

Conventional recommendations emphasize increasing the use of inorganic fertilizer to enhance maize yields in African countries south of the Sahara, but it is not clear how smallholders’ exposure to violent conflicts affect demand, yield responses, and the profitability of fertilizers. Our study tackles this question. We analyze how maize yield responds to fertilizer use and assess the profitability of fertilizer use in conflict-affected settings. We then investigate how conflict impacts the profitability of fertilizer, given that armed conflicts are likely to increase input costs, logistical difficulties, and market uncertainties. Our study reveals that yield responses to nitrogen are very low in Nigeria. We also show that exposure to conflict reduces input use rates and decreases the marginal physical productivity of nitrogen in maize production, making investment in fertilizer less profitable. Recognizing this effect of conflict on input use and maize yield response is crucial for targeting and resource allocation decisions among smallholders in similar conflict-affected regions. Moreover, the effect of conflict highlights how external factors, beyond the scope of agronomic practices, influence the economic incentives for fertilizer application and the resulting yield outcomes.

Year published

2026

Authors

Amare, Mulubrhan; Andam, Kwaw S.; Balana, Bedru; Olanrewaju, Opeyemi; Omamo, Steven Were

Citation

Amare, Mulubrhan; Andam, Kwaw S.; Balana, Bedru; Olanrewaju, Opeyemi; and Omamo, Steven Were. Unpacking the effects of conflict on fertilizer use and maize yields: Empirical evidence From Nigeria. Agricultural Economics. Article in press. First published on November 13, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70078

Country/Region

Nigeria

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Western Africa; Capacity Building; Conflicts; Fertilizers; Maize; Crop Yield; Inputs

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Rural land rental markets in developing countries: Can survey design innovations improve land market participation statistics?

2026Abate, Gashaw T.; Abay, Kibrom A.; Chamberlin, Jordan; Sebsibie, Samuel
Details

Rural land rental markets in developing countries: Can survey design innovations improve land market participation statistics?

A longstanding puzzle in the African land rental market literature is the often-observed discrepancy between the number of tenants (renters-in) and the much smaller number of landlords (renters-out) in survey data. If this discrepancy derives from systematic biases in survey data responses on rental market participation, then the existing body of survey-based empirical work on land rental markets impacts may be fundamentally flawed. To examine this issue, we implemented two survey experiments. First, we tested the hypothesis that some categories of rented land are underreported because enumerators and respondents focus primarily on parcels directly managed or cultivated by the household. A random subset of respondents received a priming nudge reminding them to account for all land, including rented- or sharecropped-in and rented- or sharecropped-out parcels. Second, we tested whether households underreport rented- or sharecropped-out land due to reluctance to disclose activities that may carry social or institutional repercussions, using a double-list experiment to infer true rates of participation. Interestingly, our results indicate a significant underreporting of both renting-in and renting-out land but arising through different mechanisms. The priming nudge increased reports of renting-/sharecropping-in by 4 percentage points (equivalent to 13% of landlords in the sample) but had negligible effects on reported renting-/sharecropping-out. By contrast, the list experiment suggests that the true share of renting-out households is about 15%: much higher than the 3% in parcel-roster responses. These results underscore the need for improved survey methods to accurately observe land rental market participation and evaluate its impact.

Year published

2026

Authors

Abate, Gashaw T.; Abay, Kibrom A.; Chamberlin, Jordan; Sebsibie, Samuel

Citation

Abate, Gashaw T.; Abay, Kibrom A.; Chamberlin, Jordan; and Sebsibie, Samuel. Rural land rental markets in developing countries: Can survey design innovations improve land market participation statistics? American Journal of Agricultural Economics. Article in press. First published online October 18, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.70022

Keywords

Africa; Developing Countries; Landowners; Tenants; Statistics; Survey Design

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Innovation environment and entrepreneurial intentions among undergraduate students in Nigeria: The moderating role of entrepreneurial education

2026Popoola, Olufemi
Details

Innovation environment and entrepreneurial intentions among undergraduate students in Nigeria: The moderating role of entrepreneurial education

Year published

2026

Authors

Popoola, Olufemi

Citation

Popoola, Olufemi. Innovation environment and entrepreneurial intentions among undergraduate students in Nigeria: The moderating role of entrepreneurial education. Innovation and Development. Article in press. First published on November 17, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1080/2157930X.2025.2587410

Country/Region

Nigeria

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Western Africa; Innovation; Entrepreneurship; Higher Education; Undergraduates; Employment

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Basis risk, social comparison, perceptions of fairness, and demand for insurance: A field experiment in Ethiopia

2026Kramer, Berber; Porter, Maria; Wassie, Solomon B.
Details

Basis risk, social comparison, perceptions of fairness, and demand for insurance: A field experiment in Ethiopia

Index insurance lowers agricultural risk but covers only covariate risks. Since farmers do not have complete insurance, they may develop mistrust of insurance when experiencing crop losses and not receiving payouts. Although recent innovations in remote sensing enable the provision of more complete insurance including coverage for idiosyncratic risks, such insurance introduces differences in payouts within social networks, which might be considered unfair, introduce jealousy, and depress insurance demand. We conduct a lab-in-the-field experiment with farmers in Ethiopia to examine whether providing complete insurance coverage affects perceived fairness and insurance demand. We also examine effects of informing farmers about neighbors’ payout experiences. We find that such social comparison increases perceived fairness of index insurance. Providing complete crop insurance increases perceived fairness of outcomes and willingness to pay for insurance, without introducing jealousy over neighbors receiving different payouts. These results are concentrated among men and those with little insurance knowledge.

Year published

2026

Authors

Kramer, Berber; Porter, Maria; Wassie, Solomon B.

Citation

Kramer, Berber; Porter, Maria; and Wassie, Solomon B. Basis risk, social comparison, perceptions of fairness, and demand for insurance: A field experiment in Ethiopia. Journal of Risk and Insurance. Article in press. FIrst published online July 31, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/jori.70015

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Africa; Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Agriculture; Farmers; Insurance; Remote Sensing

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Multi-stakeholder platforms for enabling agroecological transitions: Configurations and lessons from seven agroecological living landscapes

2026ElDidi, Hagar; Navarrete, Angela; Piraux, Marc; Vall, Eric; Tristán, Maria Claudia; Chimonyo, Vimbayi; Fuchs, Lisa Elena; Singh, Sonali; Frija, Aymen
Details

Multi-stakeholder platforms for enabling agroecological transitions: Configurations and lessons from seven agroecological living landscapes

Agroecological transition (AET) of agrifood systems is a multidimensional process involving diverse stakeholders. Participatory innovation and co-creation of knowledge are also at the heart of agroecology. Deliberately designed Multi-stakeholder platforms (MSPs) are collaborative spaces conducive to driving this type of collaboration and change. However, how these processes are operationalized is poorly documented. This study contributes to filling this gap by highlighting how MSPs can be important vehicles for enabling AETs. As part of the CGIAR Initiative on Agroecology, Agroecological Living Landscapes (ALLs) were set up as MSPs specifically focusing on co-creation of agroecological innovations. By examining different ALL configurations in seven countries, we analyze MSP attributes that can enable and shape AETs at different stages or “levels” of the transition pathway. We find that MSPs can advance different levels of the transition pathway simultaneously by working on multiple innovations involving various stakeholder coalitions. MSPs navigate complex environments, with diverse stakeholders playing multiple policy and non-policy roles to support AETs. The results also illustrate the intersection between MSP configuration and AET objectives, such as policy change, agroecology market support, and scaling adoption. Finally, we discuss the non-linear nature of AET pathways and political economy considerations for stakeholder engagement in MSPs.

Year published

2026

Authors

ElDidi, Hagar; Navarrete, Angela; Piraux, Marc; Vall, Eric; Tristán, Maria Claudia; Chimonyo, Vimbayi; Fuchs, Lisa Elena; Singh, Sonali; Frija, Aymen

Citation

ElDidi, Hagar; Navarrete, Angela; Piraux, Marc; Vall, Eric; Tristán, Maria Claudia; Chimonyo, Vimbayi; et al. Multi-stakeholder platforms for enabling agroecological transitions: Configurations and lessons from seven agroecological living landscapes. Agroecology and Sustainable Food Systems. Article in press. First published online on September 12, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1080/21683565.2025.2556433

Keywords

Agroecology; Food Systems; Multi-stakeholder Processes; Policy Innovation

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Project

Agroecology

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Network effects in household consumption patterns: Evidence from northern Ghana

2026Bedi, Shaibu Mellon; Kornher, Lukas; Kotu, Bekele Hundie; Azzarri, Carlo
Details

Network effects in household consumption patterns: Evidence from northern Ghana

We study peer effects in consumption patterns and their associated welfare implications among rural farm households in northern Ghana using a panel data set. We construct a social interaction network based on household-specific locations and employ a spatial econometric approach that leverages the structure of the peer networks to identify peer effects. The results indicate that peers’ consumption patterns significantly influence individual consumption decisions, with the magnitude of this effect varying across farm households depending on their resource endowments. We also find that information exchange and partial risk-sharing behaviors drive these peer effects. Overall, our findings suggest that government interventions aimed at enhancing household consumption through transfers would be more effective if targeted at households with relatively large peer networks. In addition, anti-poverty and income-improvement programs can leverage peer networks to enhance their overall impact.

Year published

2026

Authors

Bedi, Shaibu Mellon; Kornher, Lukas; Kotu, Bekele Hundie; Azzarri, Carlo

Citation

Bedi, Shaibu Mellon; Kornher, Lukas; Kotu, Bekele Hundie; and Azzarri, Carlo. Network effects in household consumption patterns: Evidence from northern Ghana. Review of Development Economics. Article in press. First published online June 22, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.13266

Country/Region

Ghana

Keywords

Africa; Western Africa; Household Consumption; Networks; Behaviour

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Policies, Institutions, and Markets

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Buyers’ response to third-party quality certification: Theory and evidence from Ethiopian wheat traders

2026Abate, Gashaw T.; Bernard, Tanguy; Bulte, Erwin; Miguel, Jérémy Do Nascimento; Sadoulet, Elisabeth
Details

Buyers’ response to third-party quality certification: Theory and evidence from Ethiopian wheat traders

When quality attributes of a product are not directly observable, third-party certification (TPC) enables buyers to distinguish between quality levels and reward sellers accordingly. We study the adoption of TPC by traders in smallholder-based agricultural value chains in low-income countries, where traders aggregate products from many small-scale producers before selling in bulk to downstream processors. In this context, the introduction of TPC services has oftentimes failed. We develop a theoretical model identifying how different market conditions affect traders’ choice to purchase certified output from farmers. Next, using a novel lab-in-the-field experiment with Ethiopian wheat traders, we examine the model’s predictions. Traders’ willingness to specialize in certified output increases with the share of certified wheat in the market, and this effect is stronger in larger markets. However, we find that traders do not optimally respond to variation in the quality of uncertified wheat in the market. We also analyze conditions where traders deviate from optimal behavior and discuss implications for research and policy making to promote TPC in smallholder-based value-chains. JEL Codes: Q13; D22; O13; C93

Year published

2026

Authors

Abate, Gashaw T.; Bernard, Tanguy; Bulte, Erwin; Miguel, Jérémy Do Nascimento; Sadoulet, Elisabeth

Citation

Abate, Gashaw T.; Bernard, Tanguy; Bulte, Erwin; Miguel, Jérémy Do Nascimento; and Sadoulet, Elisabeth. Buyers’ response to third-party quality certification: Theory and evidence from Ethiopian wheat traders. American Journal of Agricultural Economics. Article in press. First published online October 16, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.70015

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Africa; Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Agricultural Value Chains; Certification; Markets; Smallholders; Wheat

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-NC-ND-4.0

Project

Rethinking Food Markets

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Modeling crop-livestock interactions in semi-subsistence economies

2026Aragie, Emerta A.; Thurlow, James
Details

Modeling crop-livestock interactions in semi-subsistence economies

Climate and weather shocks pose significant threats to crop and livestock systems, leading to economic losses and humanitarian crises. Utilizing a modeling framework that innovatively integrates the crop and livestock production systems in semi-subsistence economies, this study examines the interactions and dynamic adjustments within these systems following weather shocks, using Ethiopia as a case study. We also evaluate the effectiveness of various adaptation strategies in sustaining farm incomes, food security, and welfare. Results show unique effects on the crop and livestock sectors resulting from a joint shock on the two systems. While food crops experience a strong and immediate growth effect (12.4%) that fades quickly, the livestock sector faces the full impact of the shock a year later (13.7%), with the effect persisting to some degree. We also find diverging economic and livestock system adjustment trajectories from separate shocks to the crop and livestock systems. Further, the intervention options analyzed show contrasting impacts on various outcome indicators, with only the resilient crop intervention causing sector-indifferent impacts. Our findings emphasize the importance of proactive measures to enhance the resilience of crop-livestock systems, with implications for policy and practice aimed at safeguarding food security and livelihoods in semi-subsistence economies. JEL Classification: C68, Q18, Q54, I32, O55

Year published

2026

Authors

Aragie, Emerta A.; Thurlow, James

Citation

Aragie, Emerta A.; and Thurlow, James. Modeling crop-livestock interactions in semi-subsistence economies. Agricultural Economics. Article in press. First published online August 11, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70065

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Africa; Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Climate Change; Extreme Weather Events; Integrated Crop-livestock Systems; Shock

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Diet, fruit and vegetable intake, and nutritional status in Fiji: A scoping review

2026Azupogo, Fusta; Hess, Sonja Y.; Silatolu, Anasaini Moala; Olney, Deanna K.
Details

Diet, fruit and vegetable intake, and nutritional status in Fiji: A scoping review

Increasing fruit and vegetable (F&V) intake is essential for transitioning toward healthier, more sustainable diets. To design effective intervention programmes to promote F&V intake, it is crucial to understand intake levels and dietary patterns across different demographic groups as well as populations’ nutritional status. We conducted a scoping review to summarise scientific evidence on the diet, F&V intake and nutritional status of the Fijian population. In January 2023, we searched PubMed for relevant literature. Studies were eligible if they were published in English since 2012 (for dietary intake and nutritional status) or since 2002 (for F&V) and met predefined inclusion criteria. We identified 163 articles reporting on diet, 47 on F&V intake and 95 on nutritional status. After further review and confirmation that articles met inclusion criteria, data were extracted from 16 articles on diet, 8 on F&V and 13 on nutritional status. The scoping review revealed a shift in Fiji from traditional foods to processed, unhealthy foods, high salt intake and poor dietary diversity. F&V intake was low, with only a quarter of adults and adolescents consuming the recommended daily servings. Approximately 7% of children under-five were stunted, and 8% were overweight. At least 25% of adolescents were overweight or obese, whereas 10% were underweight. Over 30% of adults were obese, and at least 25% were overweight. Overweight/obesity was higher in females and Indigenous Fijians; underweight higher among Indo-Fijian adolescents, especially males. Strengthening population-wide efforts to promote healthy lifestyles and dietary habits is crucial to address these issues.

Year published

2026

Authors

Azupogo, Fusta; Hess, Sonja Y.; Silatolu, Anasaini Moala; Olney, Deanna K.

Citation

Azupogo, Fusta; Hess, Sonja Y.; Silatolu, Anasaini Moala; and Olney, Deanna K. Diet, fruit and vegetable intake, and nutritional status in Fiji: A scoping review. Maternal and Child Nutrition. Article in press. First published online March 30, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/mcn.70023

Country/Region

Fiji

Keywords

Oceania; Diet; Fruits; Nutritional Status; Vegetables; Literature Reviews

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Fruit and Vegetables for Sustainable Healthy Diets

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Women’s dietary diversity and child feeding practices amidst COVID19 in India: Findings from National Family Health Surveys, 2016–2021

2026Pant, Anjali; Chakrabarti, Suman; Headey, Derek D.; Singh, Nishmeet; Nguyen, Phuong Hong
Details

Women’s dietary diversity and child feeding practices amidst COVID19 in India: Findings from National Family Health Surveys, 2016–2021

The COVID-19 pandemic caused a crisis that jeopardized food consumption and dietary diversity. This study aimed to: (1) investigate relationship between COVID-19 and women’s and children’s diets in India; (2) examine how this varies by socioeconomic status and mothers’ vegetarianism; and (3) assess whether mobility restrictions during India’s national lockdown influenced these dietary changes. The analysis drew on data from India’s National Family Health Survey 2015–16 and 2019–21, focusing on 11 states surveyed before and during COVID-19 (N = 567,727 women, 141,905 children). COVID-19 exposure was defined as interviews after 24 March 2020 (national lockdown). Outcomes included child feeding practices and women’s food consumption and dietary diversity. The impact of COVID-19 on diets was estimated using a difference-in-difference model; effect of mobility reduction on diets was examined using linear regression. All analyses were adjusted for confounders, interview month, state fixed effects, and sampling weights. Results showed that COVID-19 exposure was linked to significant declines in child feeding practices (−6.9 percentage points [pp] for minimum dietary diversity, −5.0 pp for minimum acceptable diet, and −6.1 pp for fruit consumption) and women’s diet (−5.7 pp for dietary diversity and green vegetable consumption). While magnitude of impact varied across socioeconomic sub-strata and mothers’ vegetarianism status, the differences were not statistically significant. The diets of women and children were greatly impacted by mobility reduction. COVID-19 has worsened the diets of women and children in India. More research is needed on the impact of relief measures to strengthen food safety nets nationwide.

Year published

2026

Authors

Pant, Anjali; Chakrabarti, Suman; Headey, Derek D.; Singh, Nishmeet; Nguyen, Phuong Hong

Citation

Pant, Anjali; Chakrabarti, Suman; Headey, Derek; Singh, Nishmeet; and Nguyen, Phuong Hong. Women’s dietary diversity and child feeding practices amidst COVID19 in India: Findings from National Family Health Surveys, 2016–2021. Maternal and Child Nutrition. Article in Press. First available online on October 10, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/mcn.70104

Country/Region

India

Keywords

Asia; Southern Asia; Vegetarianism; Dietary Diversity; Nutrition; Child Feeding; Covid-19; Surveys

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

The economic costs of bribes and road harassment by officials in ECOWAS

2026Bouët, Antoine; Sy, Abdourahmane; Traoré, Fousseini
Details

The economic costs of bribes and road harassment by officials in ECOWAS

Year published

2026

Authors

Bouët, Antoine; Sy, Abdourahmane; Traoré, Fousseini

Citation

Bouët, Antoine; Sy, Abdourahmane; and Traoré, Fousseini. The economic costs of bribes and road harassment by officials in ECOWAS. Review of World Economics. Article in press. First published on October 27, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10290-025-00615-2

Keywords

Western Africa; Africa; Trade; Trade Organizations; Economic Analysis; Corruption

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Repairing the mosaic: The political economy of landscape-level agroecological transitions in India

2026Meinzen-Dick, Ruth S.; Singh, Sonali
Details

Repairing the mosaic: The political economy of landscape-level agroecological transitions in India

Year published

2026

Authors

Meinzen-Dick, Ruth S.; Singh, Sonali

Citation

Meinzen-Dick, Ruth S.; and Singh, Sonali. 2025. Repairing the mosaic: The political economy of landscape-level agroecological transitions in India. Agroecology and Sustainable Food Systems. Article in press. First published online October 2, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1080/21683565.2025.2568498

Country/Region

India

Keywords

Asia; Southern Asia; Agroecology; Agrifood Systems; Political Aspects; Resilience; Stakeholders

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Project

Agroecology

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Information framing effects on diet choices among Chinese urban residents

2026Chen, Kevin Z.; Yu, Luyun; Lin, Wen; Ortega, David L.
Details

Information framing effects on diet choices among Chinese urban residents

Unhealthy diets have become a leading contributor to death and disability globally. The current Chinese diet falls short of a healthy diet, including too much meat, oil, salt, and sugar while having insufficient levels of whole grains, fruits, nuts, and milk. Transforming Chinese dietary patterns has become urgent. This paper compares the effectiveness of information framing effects on enhancing Chinese consumers’ healthy diet choices, varied by information content, source, and presentation. The survey is conducted across six Chinese cities, with a sample of 3150 urban consumers. Chinese consumers’ healthy diet choices are measured using an online discrete choice experiment. Four different diet patterns were used to label each of the product alternatives in the experiment, which varied in taste and cost. Results reveal that compared to positive information; negatively framed healthy information is more effective in increasing Chinese consumers’ valuations for healthy diets. Consumer valuation of a healthy whole diet is significantly enhanced when the information is from social celebrities, compared to information from a scientific source. Moreover, when health information is disclosed via social media, its effectiveness in promoting healthy diet choices is significantly reduced. Our findings have implications for designing and implementing nutrition policies and programs in China and other developing countries.

Year published

2026

Authors

Chen, Kevin Z.; Yu, Luyun; Lin, Wen; Ortega, David L.

Citation

Chen, Kevin Z.; Yu, Luyun; Lin, Wen; and Ortega, David L. Information framing effects on diet choices among Chinese urban residents. Agribusiness. Article in Press. First published on November 29, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1002/agr.21998

Keywords

Diet; Feeding Preferences; Urban Population; Health; Information; Consumers

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Book

War and resilience: The multifaceted impacts of Sudan’s conflict and pathways to recovery

2026Siddig, Khalid; Kirui, Oliver K.; Dorosh, Paul A.
Details

War and resilience: The multifaceted impacts of Sudan’s conflict and pathways to recovery

The synopsis is being made available in advance of an anticipated 2026 launch of the full book.

Year published

2026

Authors

Siddig, Khalid; Kirui, Oliver K.; Dorosh, Paul A.

Citation

Siddig, Khalid; Kirui, Oliver K.; and Dorosh, Paul A. 2026. War and resilience: The multifaceted impacts of Sudan’s conflict and pathways to recovery. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179201

Country/Region

Sudan

Keywords

Africa; Northern Africa; Resilience; Conflicts; War; Armed Conflicts; Livelihoods; Civil Conflict

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Book

Journal Article

Dietary intake and nutrient adequacies among women of reproductive age in northern Tanzania: A cross-sectional study

2026Azupogo, Fusta; Arnold, Charles D.; Bliznashka, Lilia; Makori, Nyabasi; Njau, Calista N.; Malindisa, Evangelista; Jeremiah, Kidola; Kinabo, Joyce; Olney, Deanna K.; Hess, Sonja Y.
Details

Dietary intake and nutrient adequacies among women of reproductive age in northern Tanzania: A cross-sectional study

Background Dietary inadequacies among women of reproductive age (WRA) increase malnutrition and disease risk. Objectives We characterized food group and nutrient inadequacies among WRA in rural Tanzania. Methods Baseline data (collected October 2023–January 2024) from a cluster-randomized controlled trial in Arusha and Kilimanjaro regions were analyzed. Dietary intake among WRA (n = 2594) was assessed using a 24-h dietary recall with the OpenDRS approach. This was repeated in a subsample (n = 520, 20%) to adjust for day-to-day variations in individual intake. The National Cancer Institute method was employed to estimate usual energy and nutrient intakes. Micronutrient adequacy was defined as intake greater than or equal to the harmonized average requirements (H-ARs). The mean probability of adequacy (MPA) was calculated as the average adequacy across 11 micronutrients. Results On average, women were 38.3 ± 6.2 y old; 19% were lactating, and 4% were pregnant. The mean daily energy intake was 2415 kcal/d [95% confidence interval (CI): 1937, 2895], with carbohydrates contributing 62% to daily energy intake. The mean intake of fruit and vegetables (F&V) was 279 g/d (95% CI: 201, 365), of which fruit was 35 g/d (95% CI: 2, 118) and vegetables 245 g/d (95% CI: 168, 328). Staples contributed half of the daily energy intake. About 1% of participants met calcium and vitamin B12 requirements, whereas 42%, 49%, 68%, and 72% met adequacy for vitamin C, folate, zinc, and iron, respectively. Most women met the H-ARs for riboflavin, niacin, thiamine, vitamin B6, and vitamin A. MPA was 65 (±2.3% standard error), with vegetables, pulses, animal-source foods (ASF), and staples being key micronutrient sources. Conclusions Substantial nutrient inadequacies exist among WRA in rural Northern Tanzania due to high cereal intake and low intake of F&V and ASF. Addressing these gaps requires targeted interventions, improved dietary diversity, increased intake of F&V and ASF, and enhanced food security through local production and social safety nets.

Year published

2026

Authors

Azupogo, Fusta; Arnold, Charles D.; Bliznashka, Lilia; Makori, Nyabasi; Njau, Calista N.; Malindisa, Evangelista; Jeremiah, Kidola; Kinabo, Joyce; Olney, Deanna K.; Hess, Sonja Y.

Citation

Azupogo, Fusta; Arnold, Charles D.; Bliznashka, Lilia; Makori, Nyabasi; Njau, Calista N.; et al. 2026. Dietary intake and nutrient adequacies among women of reproductive age in northern Tanzania: A cross-sectional study. Journal of Nutrition 156(1): 101238. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tjnut.2025.11.008

Keywords

Tanzania; Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Africa; Diet; Nutrient Intake; Gender; Nutrition; Women

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Youth in relation to agroecology: practices, promises, and perceptions in five countries

2026Rietveld, Anne; Guettou Djurfeldt, Nadia; Shijagurumayum, Meghajit; Gupta, Shweta; Tristán Febres, Maria Claudia; Chimonyo, Vimbayi Grace Petrova; Nehring, Ryan; Murugani, Vongai Gillian; Idoudi, Zied; Singh, Sonali
Details

Youth in relation to agroecology: practices, promises, and perceptions in five countries

In the context of rising youth populations in many low- and middle-income countries, coupled with high youth unemployment and aging farmer populations, this paper asks in what ways agroecology, as a sustainable alternative to the conventional agricultural practices and paradigm, attracts youth to farming and rural-based livelihoods. We draw on empirical data from semi-structured interviews and photovoice conducted with young women and men in five countries: Kenya, India, Peru, Tunisia, and Zimbabwe. In our discussion, we highlight which dimensions and aspects of agroecology resonate with youth and why.

Year published

2026

Authors

Rietveld, Anne; Guettou Djurfeldt, Nadia; Shijagurumayum, Meghajit; Gupta, Shweta; Tristán Febres, Maria Claudia; Chimonyo, Vimbayi Grace Petrova; Nehring, Ryan; Murugani, Vongai Gillian; Idoudi, Zied; Singh, Sonali

Citation

Rietveld, A., Guettou-Djurfeldt, N., Shijagurumayum, M., Gupta, S., Tristán, M., Chimonyo, V., Nehring, R., Murugani, V., Idoudi, Z., & Singh, S. (2025). Youth in relation to agroecology: practices, promises, and perceptions in five countries. Agroecology and Sustainable Food Systems, 1-34. Article in press. https://doi.org/10.1080/21683565.2025.2573791

Country/Region

Kenya; India; Peru; Tunisia; Zimbabwe

Keywords

Eastern Africa; Southern Asia; Latin America; Northern Africa; Southern Africa; Rural Youth; Agroecology; Agriculture; Rural Development; Labour; Livelihoods

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-NC-4.0

Project

Agroecology

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Associations between Global Diet Quality Score (GDQS) and obesity in women of reproductive age in Northern Tanzania: A cross-sectional study

2026Bliznashka, Lilia; Azupogo, Fusta; Reynolds, Elise; Arnold, Charles D.; Hess, Sonja Y.; Kinabo, Joyce; Jeremiah, Kidola; Malindisa, Evangelista; Olney, Deanna K.; Ruel, Marie T.
Details

Associations between Global Diet Quality Score (GDQS) and obesity in women of reproductive age in Northern Tanzania: A cross-sectional study

Background Obesity is an increasing problem among women of reproductive age (WRA) in Tanzania. Objective We described WRA’s nutritional status by socio-demographic factors and assessed associations with diet quality. Methods We analysed baseline data from a cluster-randomised controlled trial in Arusha and Kilimanjaro regions (n=2,415). Diet was assessed using a quantitative 24-hour recall. We calculated the Global Diet Quality Score (GDQS; 0-49), with higher scores indicating healthier diet. General obesity was defined as body mass index (BMI)≥30 kg/m2; morbid obesity as BMI≥35 kg/m2; and central obesity as: waist circumference (WC)≥80 cm, WC≥88 cm, waist-to-hip ratio (WHR)≥0.85, waist-to-height ratio (WHtR)≥0.50, and WHR≥0.85 or BMI≥30 kg/m2. We tested associations between diet quality and nutritional status using generalised linear models controlling for age and sociodemographic factors and tested interactions to assess differential associations by age groups. Results The prevalence of general obesity was 25.1%, morbid obesity 8.4%, and central obesity 48.2-71.6% depending on the definition. Mean GDQS was 20.9±3.9. General and central obesity were more prevalent among women who were older, less educated, had light physical labour occupations, were in the highest wealth quintile, and lived in more urbanised villages and in more food secure households. Higher GDQS was associated with lower risk of morbid obesity: risk ratio (RR) 0.97 (95% CI 0.94, 1.00). Higher GDQS was also associated with 0.25-0.27 kg/m2 lower BMI, 0.54-0.66 cm lower WC, and 0.53-0.58 cm lower hip circumference in women 30-49 years of age. Conclusion Better diet quality emerged as a protective factor for morbid obesity and for other obesity measures among women 30-49 years of age. Our study suggests that interventions to improve diet quality in Tanzania should target women in their thirties and forties and those with lower physical activity and higher education, food security, and wealth to maximise effectiveness.

Year published

2026

Authors

Bliznashka, Lilia; Azupogo, Fusta; Reynolds, Elise; Arnold, Charles D.; Hess, Sonja Y.; Kinabo, Joyce; Jeremiah, Kidola; Malindisa, Evangelista; Olney, Deanna K.; Ruel, Marie T.

Citation

Bliznashka, Lilia; Azupogo, Fusta; Reynolds, Elise; Arnold, Charles D.; Hess, Sonja Y.; et al. Associations between Global Diet Quality Score (GDQS) and obesity in women of reproductive age in Northern Tanzania: A cross-sectional study. Journal of Nutrition. Article in press. First published on December 26, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tjnut.2025.101282

Keywords

Tanzania; Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Eastern Africa; Health; Diet Quality; Obesity; Gender; Women; Healthy Diets; Nutrition

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Access to digital services and its impact on farm income: Empirical evidence from eastern India

2026Sharma, Kriti; Katoch, Sonali; Mohapatra, Soumya; Kaur, Manpreet; Kumar, Anjani
Details

Access to digital services and its impact on farm income: Empirical evidence from eastern India

Year published

2026

Authors

Sharma, Kriti; Katoch, Sonali; Mohapatra, Soumya; Kaur, Manpreet; Kumar, Anjani

Citation

Sharma, Kriti; Katoch, Sonali; Mohapatra, Soumya; Kaur, Manpreet; and Kumar, Anjani. Access to Digital Services and Its Impact on Farm Income: Empirical Evidence from Eastern India. Agricultural Economics Research Review. Article in Press. First online December 28, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1177/09713441251395494

Country/Region

India

Keywords

Southern Asia; Asia; Technology; Technology Evaluation; Credit; Digital Technology; Farm Income

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Effect of combining lower- and higher-value monthly cash transfers with nutrition-sensitive agriculture, male engagement and psychosocial intervention on maternal depressive symptoms in rural Malawi: A secondary analysis of a cluster-randomised controlled trial

2026
Bliznashka, Lilia; Nwabuikwu, Odiche; Ahun, Marilyn N; Roschnik, Natalie; Phiri, Brenda; Gondwe-Matekesa, Esnatt; Kachinjika, Monice; Mvula, Peter; Munthali, Alister; Maggio, Daniel
…more Katundu, Mangani; Maleta, Kenneth; Gladstone, Melissa; Gelli, Aulo; MAZIKO trial team
Details

Effect of combining lower- and higher-value monthly cash transfers with nutrition-sensitive agriculture, male engagement and psychosocial intervention on maternal depressive symptoms in rural Malawi: A secondary analysis of a cluster-randomised controlled trial

Maternal depression affects one in five women in Malawi. Integrated interventions simultaneously addressing multiple risks are a promising strategy to improve mental health. This study evaluated the impact of a nutrition-sensitive social behaviour change (SBC) intervention (agriculture and livelihoods, male engagement and Caring for the Caregiver) with or without cash transfers on maternal perinatal depression during the lean season in rural Malawi. A midline survey for a cluster-randomised controlled trial was conducted, where 156 clusters were randomly assigned to four arms (39 clusters/arm): (1) standard of care (SoC), (2) SBC, (3) SBC+low cash (US$17 per month) and (4) SBC+high cash (US$43 per month). Pregnant women and mothers of children <2 years of age (n=2677) were enrolled at baseline (May–June 2022). A subsample of 1303 women was followed-up at midline (November–December 2023). Maternal perinatal depression was assessed using the Self-Reporting Questionnaire with a score of ≥8 indicating symptoms consistent with depression. Intervention effects were estimated using linear mixed effects models. At midline, SBC+high cash reduced depression scores relative to SoC (mean difference −1.13 (95% CI −1.96 to –0.31)) but had no impact on the proportion of women with depressive symptoms. Relative to SoC, SBC+low cash and SBC alone had no impact on depression scores or the proportion of women with depressive symptoms. Relative to SBC alone, adding cash to SBC reduced depression scores and the proportion of women with depressive symptoms regardless of the size of the cash transfer. Cash transfers integrated with SBC can benefit maternal perinatal mental health in rural Malawi during the lean season.

Year published

2026

Authors

Bliznashka, Lilia; Nwabuikwu, Odiche; Ahun, Marilyn N; Roschnik, Natalie; Phiri, Brenda; Gondwe-Matekesa, Esnatt; Kachinjika, Monice; Mvula, Peter; Munthali, Alister; Maggio, Daniel; Katundu, Mangani; Maleta, Kenneth; Gladstone, Melissa; Gelli, Aulo; MAZIKO trial team

Citation

Bliznashka, Lilia; Nwabuikwu, Odiche; Ahun, Marilyn N.; Roschnik, Natalie; Phiri, Brenda; et al. 2026. Effect of combining lower- and higher-value monthly cash transfers with nutrition-sensitive agriculture, male engagement and psychosocial intervention on maternal depressive symptoms in rural Malawi: A secondary analysis of a cluster-randomised controlled trial. BMJ Global Health 11(1): e018860. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2025-018860

Country/Region

Malawi

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Eastern Africa; Capacity Building; Rural Areas; Cash Transfers; Social Protection; Nutrition; Gender; Randomized Controlled Trials

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-NC-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Digital health interventions in strengthening primary healthcare systems in Sub-Saharan Africa: Insights from Ethiopia, Ghana, and Zimbabwe

2026Simbini, Tungamirirai; Adimado, Emma; Adjorlolo, Samuel; Guerrero-Torres, Lorena; Srinivas, Prashanth; Zizhou, Simukai; Zerfu, Taddese
Details

Digital health interventions in strengthening primary healthcare systems in Sub-Saharan Africa: Insights from Ethiopia, Ghana, and Zimbabwe

Digital Health Interventions (DHIs) refer to discrete technological functionalities designed to achieve specific objectives in addressing health system challenges. These interventions are considered tools for strengthening health systems, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. This study consolidates findings from Ethiopia, Ghana, and Zimbabwe, examining how three distinct digital health applications with varying intervention components implemented in primary healthcare settings contribute to health system strengthening. The interventions analyzed include Ethiopia’s District Health Information System 2 (DHIS2), Ghana’s District Health Information Management System (DHIMS) and the Lightwave Health Information Management System (LHIMS), and Zimbabwe’s Impilo Electronic Health Record (E-HR) system. In Ethiopia, DHIS2 enhanced health system accountability and data quality by streamlining district-level data aggregation, reporting, and performance monitoring. This led to more informed decision-making and improved resource distribution. In Ghana, DHIMSs functions as a public health-level DHI, facilitating national data-driven performance monitoring, while LHIMS operates at the patient level, supporting patient tracking and management, improving patient workflows and resource tracking. However, a lack of interoperability between these two systems has led to data duplication challenges. Zimbabwe’s Impilo E-HR, a patient-level DHI, has streamlined clinical workflows, improved information sharing, and enhanced decision-making at the point of care. Despite these successes, challenges persist across the three contexts: infrastructure limitations, high staff turnover, and insufficient user technical capacity. Interoperability issues, particularly in Ghana and Ethiopia, hinder seamless data exchange, while sustainability concerns such as funding gaps and inadequate government support undermine the systems’ full potential. The study findings demonstrate that investments in DHIs in primary healthcare may not result in health systems strengthening without addressing baseline conditions for their implementation and sustainability.

Year published

2026

Authors

Simbini, Tungamirirai; Adimado, Emma; Adjorlolo, Samuel; Guerrero-Torres, Lorena; Srinivas, Prashanth; Zizhou, Simukai; Zerfu, Taddese

Citation

Simbini, Tungamirirai; Adimado, Emma; Adjorlolo, Samuel; Guerrero-Torres, Lorena; Srinivas, Prashanth; et al. 2026. Digital health interventions in strengthening primary healthcare systems in Sub-Saharan Africa: Insights from Ethiopia, Ghana, and Zimbabwe. PLOS Digital Health 5(1): e0000863. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pdig.0000863

Country/Region

Ethiopia; Ghana; Zimbabwe

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Health Care; Digital Technology; Health Communication; Information Services

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

An evolving landscape for nexus governance in transboundary basins: Recognizing and harnessing the growing role of multistakeholder platforms

2026Nehring, Ryan; Lautze, Jonathan
Details

An evolving landscape for nexus governance in transboundary basins: Recognizing and harnessing the growing role of multistakeholder platforms

Year published

2026

Authors

Nehring, Ryan; Lautze, Jonathan

Citation

Nehring, Ryan; and Lautze, Jonathan. An evolving landscape for nexus governance in transboundary basins: Recognizing and harnessing the growing role of multistakeholder platforms. Society and Natural Resources. Article in press. First published on December 26, 2025. https://doi.org/10.1080/08941920.2025.2606223

Keywords

Governance; Natural Resources; Transboundary Waters; Basins; Stakeholders

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Armed conflict and climate-induced weather disruptions in agricultural input use: Evidence From Ethiopia

2026Ayalew, Hailemariam; Berhane, Guush; Wondale, Meserete; Breisinger, Clemens
Details

Armed conflict and climate-induced weather disruptions in agricultural input use: Evidence From Ethiopia

Year published

2026

Authors

Ayalew, Hailemariam; Berhane, Guush; Wondale, Meserete; Breisinger, Clemens

Citation

Ayalew, Hailemariam; Berhane, Guush; Wondale, Meserete; and Breisinger, Clemens. 2026. Armed Conflict and Climate-Induced Weather Disruptions in Agricultural Input Use: Evidence From Ethiopia. Agricultural Economics 57(1): e70083. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.70083

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Africa; Conflicts; Farm Inputs; Weather Hazards; Armed Conflicts; Climate Change

Language

English

Access/Licence

Limited Access

Project

National Policies and Strategies

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Imperfect competition and asymmetric welfare effects of global price and productivity shocks: a CGE model analysis for Senegal

2025Zidouemba, Patrice Relouende; Traoré, Fousseini; Odjo, Sunday Pierre
Details

Imperfect competition and asymmetric welfare effects of global price and productivity shocks: a CGE model analysis for Senegal

This article investigates the asymmetric effects of global price and productivity shocks on welfare in the context of imperfect competition. The primary objective is to understand how market concentration affects the transmission of economic shocks and their impacts on various households. A CGE model, calibrated on a 2014 social accounting matrix for Senegal, is used. The model features a trading sector operating under a Cournot oligopoly with increasing returns to scale. Two scenarios are simulated: a 15% increase in global import prices and a 10% increase in agricultural productivity, each considering different levels of market concentration. The findings reveal that higher global import prices reduce household well-being, a situation exacerbated by low market competition. In contrast, agricultural productivity gains enhance well-being, with these benefits amplified by greater competition. However, the wealthiest households in Dakar benefit from low competition due to their positions in oligopolistic companies. To maximize household well-being, economic policies should focus on strengthening market competition, particularly in the trading sector. Actions such as reducing entry barriers for new businesses and regulating anti-competitive practices can help mitigate the adverse effects of global price increases and amplify the benefits of agricultural productivity gains.

Year published

2025

Authors

Zidouemba, Patrice Relouende; Traoré, Fousseini; Odjo, Sunday Pierre

Citation

Zidouemba, Patrice Relouende; Traore, Fousseini; and Odjo, Sunday Pierre. 2025. Imperfect competition and asymmetric welfare effects of global price and productivity shocks: a CGE model analysis for Senegal. Cogent Economics and Finance 13(1): 2475160. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2025.2475160

Country/Region

Senegal

Keywords

Africa; Western Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Prices; Shock; Markets; Agricultural Productivity; Households; Computable General Equilibrium Models

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Understanding spatial heterogeneity of hidden hunger in Senegal

2025Marivoet, Wim; Ulimwengu, John M.; Sall, Leysa Maty; Fall, Cheickh Sadibou
Details

Understanding spatial heterogeneity of hidden hunger in Senegal

Using household consumption data collected in 2017/18, this paper analyzes patterns of urban and rural food consumption in Senegal. We adopt two methodological approaches: an in-depth (spatial) profiling of current diets and corresponding nutrient intakes and an application of the Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS). Our findings indicate that Senegal is a typical case of micronutrient deficiency, especially regarding calcium, iron, and vitamin B12. Due to their higher income status and better food access, urban dwellers on average have a more diversified diet with higher nutrient intakes compared to their rural counterparts, especially regarding calcium, vitamin B12, and vitamin A. While the country’s food system in general is unable to assure a nutritious diet for all, the most remote rural departments in Senegal, such as Saraya and Podor, display the highest nutrient deficiencies and therefore should be targeted with priority. Apart from geographical targeting and given their higher responsiveness to price and income changes, policies based on food pricing and income transfers should be implemented to ensure a minimal nutrient intake among the most food-insecure households. These policies could be further complemented with behavioral change campaigns to promote an alternative set of nutrient-rich and cost-effective food items.

Year published

2025

Authors

Marivoet, Wim; Ulimwengu, John M.; Sall, Leysa Maty; Fall, Cheickh Sadibou

Citation

Marivoet, Wim; Ulimwengu, John M.; Sall, Leysa Maty; and Fall, Cheickh Sadibou. 2025. Understanding spatial heterogeneity of hidden hunger in Senegal. Cogent Food & Agriculture 11(1): 2533375. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311932.2025.2533375

Country/Region

Senegal

Keywords

Western Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Africa; Household Consumption; Food Consumption; Diet; Nutrition; Micronutrient Deficiencies; Food Systems; Elasticity of Demand; Nutrient Deficiencies

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Journal Article

Step by step to higher yields? Adoption and impacts of a sequenced training approach for climate-smart coffee production in Uganda

2025Günther, Manuela Kristin; Bosch, Christine; Ewel, Hanna; Nawrotzki, Raphael; Kato, Edward
Details

Step by step to higher yields? Adoption and impacts of a sequenced training approach for climate-smart coffee production in Uganda

Climate change further exacerbates sustainability challenges in coffee cultivation. Addressing these requires effective delivery mechanisms for sustainable farming practices, particularly in smallholder contexts. We assess a novel public-private extension approach in Uganda, called Stepwise, comprising a sequence of climate-smart and good agricultural practices in four incremental steps. Using a mixed-method approach, an index that captures adoption intensity rather than binary uptake, and survey data from 915 Robusta and Arabica coffee farmers, we find adoption levels around 46% and relatively uniform amongst treated, spillover and comparison farmers. Regional variations suggest differing benefits across coffee varieties. Qualitative findings identify barriers to adoption, including financial and labour constraints, suboptimal training delivery, and input and output market imperfections. Despite relatively low uptake, adoption of more than half of the Stepwise practices is associated with substantial gains: inverse probability weighted regression adjustment reveals a 23% increase in yield and a 32% increase in revenue. Our findings add to the adoption literature, which often highlights limited uptake, and have important policy implications. Strengthening producer organizations, delivering targeted training but also innovative solutions for access to inputs and fair pricing, hold considerable potential to increase the adoption of climate-smart practices, particularly among resource-constrained farmers.

Year published

2025

Authors

Günther, Manuela Kristin; Bosch, Christine; Ewel, Hanna; Nawrotzki, Raphael; Kato, Edward

Citation

Günther, Manuela Kristin; Bosch, Christine; Ewel, Hanna; Nawrotzki, Raphael; and Kato, Edward. 2025. Step by step to higher yields? Adoption and impacts of a sequenced training approach for climate-smart coffee production in Uganda. International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability 23(1): 2545042. https://doi.org/10.1080/14735903.2025.2545042

Country/Region

Uganda

Keywords

Africa; Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Climate-smart Agriculture; Crop Yield; Coffee; Sustainability

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

Working Paper

Rural livelihoods under prolonged conflict: Evidence from a panel household survey in Sudan

2025Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Abushama, Hala; Rakhy, Tarig; Mohamed, Shima; Siddig, Khalid; Kirui, Oliver K.
Details

Rural livelihoods under prolonged conflict: Evidence from a panel household survey in Sudan

This report presents evidence from the Sudan Rural Household Survey of 2023 and 2024, a two-wave panel survey that assesses how rural households are navigating prolonged conflict. By tracking the same households over time, the survey provides longitudinal insights into livelihoods, food security, access to markets and productive resources, and exposure to shocks across an insecure and rapidly evolving context. The findings from the survey data analysis point to an uneven pattern of economic adjustment by households rather than sustained recovery. Rural households are actively adapting through changes in livelihood strategies, income diversification, and increased participation of household members in income-generating activities. Compared to 2023, fewer households reported in 2024 having no employment. Engagement in salaried work and agriculture also rose. Despite these shifts, income losses remain widespread. Only a small share of households reported improved earnings in 2024, indicating that adaptation is largely driven by necessity rather than durable recovery. Food consumption outcomes improved markedly between survey waves, with substantial declines in the share of households in 2024 reporting poor or borderline diets. At the same time, experience-based measures show that food insecurity remains pervasive, with more than half of rural households facing moderate or severe food insecurity. There has been little change in the prevalence of severe food insecurity. The continuing food insecurity challenges underscore the fragility of recent gains and the continued vulnerability of many households.

Year published

2025

Authors

Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Abushama, Hala; Rakhy, Tarig; Mohamed, Shima; Siddig, Khalid; Kirui, Oliver K.

Citation

Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Abushama, Hala; Rakhy, Tarig; Mohamed, Shima; Siddig, Khalid; and Kirui, Oliver K. 2025. Rural livelihoods under prolonged conflict: Evidence from a panel household survey in Sudan. Sudan SSP Working Paper 25. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179368

Country/Region

Sudan

Keywords

Africa; Northern Africa; Food Security; Conflicts; Livelihoods; Households; Surveys

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Working Paper

Brief

Life after a cluster intervention: Insights from shrimp farming in Bangladesh

2025Narayanan, Sudha; Sakil, Abdul Zabbar; Kabir, Razin; Redoy, Md.; Belton, Ben
Details

Life after a cluster intervention: Insights from shrimp farming in Bangladesh

This project note summarizes insights from a three-year research project focused on an ambitious cluster intervention by the Department of Fisheries (DoF), Government of Bangladesh for shrimp farmers. In 2022, as part of a World Bank funded project, the Department of Fisheries organized smallholder shrimp farmers with contiguous ponds into clusters in Khulna, Satkhira and Bagerhat districts in southwest Bangladesh. Each cluster brought together 20-25 farmers, with pond sizes of at most 1.5 acres in size, to deliver training on best management practices, supply inputs, and encourage coordination. Group members were encouraged to follow a suite of management practices aimed at raising farm productivity, reducing the incidence of shrimp disease, and increasing the supply of raw material for processors. These measures included farming bagda shrimp (P. monodon)—Bangladesh’s main export species—in monoculture, raising shrimp stocking densities, stocking disease-free shrimp larvae (SPFPL), using factory-made feeds, deepening ponds, erecting biosecurity fencing, and coordinating stocking and harvesting activities with other group members. The costs of deepening ponds and adopting other improved management practices were borne by farmers themselves, but the clusters that made these investments received free SPF-PL and feed as incentives for doing so. The goal of this cluster intervention was to promote sufficient volumes of shrimp for processing plants for export, eventually paving the way for instituting traceability systems and group-based sustainability certification, increasingly a requirement in global retail markets. Even at the time of inception, the cluster program was intended as a time-bound two-year project that would end in 2025.

Year published

2025

Authors

Narayanan, Sudha; Sakil, Abdul Zabbar; Kabir, Razin; Redoy, Md.; Belton, Ben

Citation

Narayanan, Sudha; Sakil, Abdul Zabbar; Kabir, Razin; Redoy, Md.; and Belton, Ben. 2025. Life after a cluster intervention: Insights from shrimp farming in Bangladesh. IFPRI Project Note. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179366

Country/Region

Bangladesh

Keywords

Southern Asia; Asia; Shrimp Fisheries; Evaluation; Shrimp Culture; Farming Systems; Aquaculture Systems

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Brief

Brief

Climate-smart agriculture and development practices in Egypt: Report on a policy seminar event

2025Hassan, Ganna; Tarek, Abdallah
Details

Climate-smart agriculture and development practices in Egypt: Report on a policy seminar event

This policy note summarizes presentations and discussion shared during the workshop held in Cairo on May 25th 2025, as part of the Bridging Evidence and Policy (BEP) seminar series, a collaborative initiative by the Egyptian Food Bank (EFB), the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), and the Sawiris Foundation for Social Development (SFSD) which brings together researchers, policymakers, and development practitioners.

Year published

2025

Authors

Hassan, Ganna; Tarek, Abdallah

Citation

Hassan, Ganna; and Tarek, Abdallah. 20025. Climate-smart agriculture and development practices in Egypt: Report on a policy seminar event. IFPRI Policy Note. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179367

Country/Region

Egypt

Keywords

Northern Africa; Middle East; Climate Change; Climate-smart Agriculture; Early Warning Systems; Policies

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Brief

Working Paper

Targeting of food aid programs: Evidence from Egypt

2025Mahmoud, Mai; Kurdi, Sikandra
Details

Targeting of food aid programs: Evidence from Egypt

In-kind food aid programs remain prominent world-wide. Targeting in these programs is complex due to potential distortions in consumption. This paper advances the literature by moving beyond poverty-based targeting to address nutritional objectives. Using data from a randomized controlled trial (RCT), we apply machine learning (ML) techniques to analyze heterogeneity in impacts across nutritional outcomes, aiming to inform targeting based on observable characteristics. We find that such characteristics significantly predict heterogeneity in treatment effects, though relevant predictors differ by outcome and treatment type. Building on recent literature advocating for balancing of deprivation and expected impact, we show that, in our context, the trade-off between targeting the most impacted versus the most deprived households is limited. Instead, the main challenge is prioritizing among competing nutritional objectives. Our findings indicate that ML methods can inform outcome-specific targeting criteria, though these criteria vary across outcomes and are imperfectly correlated.

Year published

2025

Authors

Mahmoud, Mai; Kurdi, Sikandra

Citation

Mahmoud, Mai; and Kurdi, Sikandra. 2025. Targeting of food aid programs: Evidence from Egypt. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2393. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179370

Country/Region

Egypt

Keywords

Africa; Northern Africa; Nutrition; Econometric Models; Food Aid; Machine Learning; Targeting; Food Aid

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Project

National Policies and Strategies

Record type

Working Paper

Brief

Evolution of consumption and livelihood impacts from cash and food transfer programs: Eight-year post-program experimental evidence from Bangladesh

2025Ahmed, Akhter; Bakhtiar, M. Mehrab; Hidrobo, Melissa; Hoddinott, John F.; Rakshit, Deboleena; Roy, Shalini
Details

Evolution of consumption and livelihood impacts from cash and food transfer programs: Eight-year post-program experimental evidence from Bangladesh

Findings from this study will provide greater insight as to how and why transfer programs have mixed post-intervention effects across different contexts, and how gender and livelihood opportunities may influence these trajectories. These insights will help inform the future design of transfer programs that aim to support sustainable poverty reduction and gender-equitable livelihoods, including to guide modifications tailored to the local context.

Year published

2025

Authors

Ahmed, Akhter; Bakhtiar, M. Mehrab; Hidrobo, Melissa; Hoddinott, John F.; Rakshit, Deboleena; Roy, Shalini

Citation

Ahmed, Akhter; Bakhtiar, M. Mehrab; Hidrobo, Melissa; Hoddinott, John F.; Rakshit, Deboleena; and Roy, Shalini. 2025. Evolution of consumption and livelihood impacts from cash and food transfer programs: Eight-year post-program experimental evidence from Bangladesh. IFPRI Project Note. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179365

Country/Region

Bangladesh

Keywords

Southern Asia; Asia; Social Protection; Cash Transfers; Food Security; Evaluation; Consumption; Livelihoods; Food Assistance

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Brief

Working Paper

Impact assessments of gender transformative interventions in Tanzania: Pre-analysis plan

2025Cole, Steve; Ferguson, Nathaniel; Heckert, Jessica; Hidrobo, Melissa; Mwakanyamale, Devis; Nwagboso, Chibuzo
Details

Impact assessments of gender transformative interventions in Tanzania: Pre-analysis plan

Transforming gender norms improves women’s wellbeing and may help close the agricultural productivity gap, yet evidence on pairing them with agriculture interventions is limited. We will test an innovative approach to developing and delivering gender transformative interventions with cassava producers in Tanzania. Using a cluster-randomized controlled trial, we examine the impact of these gender transformative interventions paired with standard agricultural service, compared to agricultural services alone, on the primary (gender norms, decision making, and women’s leadership) and secondary (agricultural productivity, women’s savings, and women’s access to land) outcomes. Qualitative methods will examine changes in intra-couple dynamics (communication, decision making, and division of labor).

Year published

2025

Authors

Cole, Steve; Ferguson, Nathaniel; Heckert, Jessica; Hidrobo, Melissa; Mwakanyamale, Devis; Nwagboso, Chibuzo

Citation

Cole, Steve; Ferguson, Nathaniel; Heckert, Jessica; Hidrobo, Melissa; Mwakanyamale, Devis; and Nwagboso, Chibuzo. 2025. Impact assessments of gender transformative interventions in Tanzania: Pre-analysis plan. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179364

Keywords

Tanzania; Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Africa; Gender; Policies; Impact Assessment; Women; Cluster Randomized Trials; Qualitative Analysis

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Project

Gender Equality

Record type

Working Paper

Brief

Solar powered drip irrigation: Lessons learned from an impact evaluation in Yemen

2025Jovanovic, Nina; Darwish, Maram; Kurdi, Sikandra; Yamauchi, Futoshi
Details

Solar powered drip irrigation: Lessons learned from an impact evaluation in Yemen

This policy note summarizes findings from a clustered randomized controlled trial (RCT) conducted in eastern Yemen to assess the impacts of subsidized solar powered drip irrigation systems on smallholder farmers’ production decisions and household food security. The study provides causal evidence on how subsidizing solar drip irrigation for smallholders affects crop choice, market engagement, and welfare outcomes in a fragile, water-scarce context. The intervention led to a significant shift in cropping patterns, with treated farmers becoming less likely to cultivate cereals and more likely to grow higher-value horticultural crops. Treated households also sold a greater share of their harvest in markets during the first season following installation, suggesting increased commercialization. However, the study did not detect significant short-term impacts on household food security, indicating that production changes did not immediately translate into improved consumption outcomes.

Year published

2025

Authors

Jovanovic, Nina; Darwish, Maram; Kurdi, Sikandra; Yamauchi, Futoshi

Citation

Jovanovic, Nina; Darwish, Maram; Kurdi, Sikandra; and Yamauchi, Futoshi. 2025. Solar powered drip irrigation: Lessons learned from an impact evaluation in Yemen. MENA Policy Note. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179369

Country/Region

Yemen

Keywords

Western Asia; Middle East; Climate Change Adaptation; Solar Energy; Irrigation; Evaluation; Solar Powered Irrigation Systems; Trickle Irrigation; Groundwater Irrigation; Irrigation Systems

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Brief

Working Paper

Alineando el financiamiento verde con la política agropecuaria: De los compromisos globales a las soluciones locales

2025Piñeiro, Valeria; Rueda, Jorge Armando; López, Cecilia; Henao, Fernando; Lozano, Jorge Andrés; Bohórquez, Camilo; Borda, Carolina
Details

Alineando el financiamiento verde con la política agropecuaria: De los compromisos globales a las soluciones locales

El documento analiza cómo el financiamiento verde puede alinearse con la política agropecuaria para apoyar sistemas agroalimentarios sostenibles frente a presiones ambientales globales como la degradación del suelo, la pérdida de biodiversidad y la variabilidad climática; enfatiza el papel de marcos internacionales como el Acuerdo de París y la necesidad de aumentar el financiamiento climático que llega al sector agrícola; destaca los avances de América Latina y el Caribe en taxonomías verdes y programas como el ABC+ de Brasil, subraya la importancia de sistemas sólidos de monitoreo, reporte y verificación, y revisa la evidencia que muestra que el crédito agropecuario condicionado puede impulsar prácticas sostenibles cuando existen instituciones fuertes y bajos costos de transacción, aunque persisten barreras, especialmente para pequeños productores; para Colombia, identifica tensiones ambientales significativas, desafíos estructurales rurales y avances en políticas como crecimiento verde, agroecología y finanzas climáticas, concluyendo que una mayor coordinación intersectorial, mecanismos financieros adaptativos, enfoques territoriales y estrategias centradas en los productores son esenciales para facilitar una transición justa hacia una productividad agropecuaria sostenible. Este resumen ha sido proporcionado por inteligencia artificial generativa.

Year published

2025

Authors

Piñeiro, Valeria; Rueda, Jorge Armando; López, Cecilia; Henao, Fernando; Lozano, Jorge Andrés; Bohórquez, Camilo; Borda, Carolina

Citation

Piñeiro, Valeria; Rueda, Jorge Armando; López, Cecilia; Henao, Fernando; Lozano, Jorge Andrés; et al. 2025. Alineando el financiamiento verde con la política agropecuaria: De los compromisos globales a las soluciones locales. LAC Working Paper 42. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179393

Country/Region

Colombia

Keywords

Latin America and the Caribbean; Climate Finance; Financiación Relacionada Con El Cambio Climático; Agricultural Policies; Política Agrícola; Sustainable Agriculture; Agricultura Sostenible; Climate Change Mitigation; Mitigación Del Cambio Climático; Climate Change; Cambio Climático

Language

Spanish

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Working Paper

Report

Essential commodities prices, availability, and market actors’ perceptions: November 2025

2025Abushama, Hala; Rakhy, Tarig; Mohamed, Shima; Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Adam, Abdelhafiz; Siddig, Khalid
Details

Essential commodities prices, availability, and market actors’ perceptions: November 2025

Sudan’s markets in November 2025 showed continued, albeit uneven, stabilization. Prices of most essential commodities remained broadly stable, supported by seasonal harvest effects and improved availability. Wheat prices increased modestly due to slightly lower availability, while sorghum prices remained low and stable. Prices of lentils and rice were largely unchanged, pigeon pea prices declined, and vegetable prices showed mixed trends with improvements in onion availability and quality. Oilseeds, sugar, cooking oil, and fava bean prices were generally stable or declining, despite persistent inter-state disparities. Meat prices continued to rise for lamb and beef, while chicken prices stabilized and milk prices declined. Fuel prices stabilized following earlier volatility, with improved availability in regular markets, though parallel market prices remained high. Fertilizer prices were stable, but perceived availability declined. Exchange rate pressures persisted, marked by a widening gap between official and parallel rates. Market functioning improved, with fewer merchants reporting supply chain, financial, and liquidity constraints, and minimal challenges related to storage, power, labor, and market safety. Profitability stabilized, tax and fee payments increased further, and most merchants expect to maintain current trading levels, signaling cautious but stable market outlooks.

Year published

2025

Authors

Abushama, Hala; Rakhy, Tarig; Mohamed, Shima; Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Adam, Abdelhafiz; Siddig, Khalid

Citation

Abushama, Hala; Rakhy, Tarig; Mohamed, Shima; Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Adam, Abdelhafiz; and Siddig, Khalid. 2025. Essential commodities prices, availability, and market actors’ perceptions: November 2025. Sudan Market Prices and Availability Report 10. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179395

Country/Region

Sudan

Keywords

Africa; Northern Africa; Capacity Building; Commodities; Prices; Markets; Price Stabilization; Economic Stabilization

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Report

Report

Pakistan agri-food system: Assessment report

2025Davies, Stephen; Ejaz, Amna
Details

Pakistan agri-food system: Assessment report

Despite agriculture’s central role in Pakistan’s economic growth, the sector continues to struggle with decades old structural issues and its performance is weak. Spending on subsidies for water, fertilizer, electricity, and wheat procurement reached US$1.25 billion in Punjab alone, far more than the funding provided for research and development. Inefficient and fragmented value chains, high post-harvest losses and transport costs, limited access to formal markets, dependence on subsidies, and underdeveloped storage and processing infrastructure are among the significant problems affecting agriculture. The deep-rooted traditional system, characterized by reliance on commission agents and the weak implementation of market reforms both restrict farmers’ bargaining power, especially for smallholder farmers. Moreover, although on average the country’s population is food secure in terms of caloric sufficiency, limited dietary diversity and inadequate access to nutritious foods cause widespread malnutrition. Regardless of these issues, some positive changes have been introduced. The recent rollback of wheat procurement and the minimum support price policy presents both challenges and opportunities as long-sought reconsideration of crop choices and promotion of higher value or climate-resilient alternative crops now seems possible. Market reform under the Punjab Agriculture Marketing Regulatory Authority (PAMRA), created as an initiative of the World Bank’s SMART program, presents another opportunity, particularly as the notified areas for central markets have been dropped, creating an opening for more competition. Although implementation remains slow, the Authority has begun paving the way for market modernization. However, this transition must be supported by improvements in market access, development of an improved and well-managed storage network, and well-functioning price mechanisms to protect food security and farmer incomes. In addition to the marketing, value addition, and productivity challenges identified above, climate change will also create constraints and challenges for agri-food development and transformation in Pakistan. The sector faces likely increases in extreme events, particularly flooding, as well as longer-run chronic effects of heat on yields and labor productivity in agriculture, rising salinity and land drying, and increasing crop water requirements even as other demands for water increase.

Year published

2025

Authors

Davies, Stephen; Ejaz, Amna

Citation

Davies, Stephen; and Ejaz, Amna. 2025. Pakistan agri-food system: Assessment report. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179396

Country/Region

Pakistan

Keywords

Asia; Southern Asia; Agrifood Systems; Value Chains; Computable General Equilibrium Models; Models; Stakeholders

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Report

Brief

Water for food security: The contribution of CGIAR in addressing global agricultural water challenges

2025Xie, Hua; Masso, Cargele
Details

Water for food security: The contribution of CGIAR in addressing global agricultural water challenges

Water is a fundamental input for food production and is used extensively across all agricultural activities, including crop cultivation, livestock production, aquaculture, and food processing. Substantial investments have been made to expand water supply capacity for agriculture, which has made a significant contribution to agricultural production growth (FAO, 2021). At the same time, the intensive use of water in agriculture and related processes creates significant pressures on water resources and aquatic ecosystems. Water scarcity and pollution are among the major water-related challenges associated with global food production, which are directly relevant to SDG 6.

Year published

2025

Authors

Xie, Hua; Masso, Cargele

Citation

Xie, Hua and Masso, Cargele. 2025. Water for food security: The contribution of CGIAR in addressing global agricultural water challenges. IFPRI Project Note. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179405

Keywords

Water Management; Food Security; Water

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Brief

Abstract

South Asia Nutrition Knowledge Initiative: Abstract digest December 2025

2025International Food Policy Research Institute
Details

South Asia Nutrition Knowledge Initiative: Abstract digest December 2025

The seventh edition of the Abstract Digest highlights a nutrition landscape in South Asia—and globally— marked by persistent anemia, poor dietary quality, and uneven progress in delivering effective interventions at scale. Several studies focus on anemia reduction, including a series published by The Lancet, showing that despite long-standing global commitments, most countries remain off track to meet current targets. New modelling evidence suggests that the existing Sustainable Development Goal of halving anemia prevalence among women of reproductive age by 2030 is unlikely to be achieved with current approaches, underscoring the need to prioritize more realistic and cost-effective strategies. Across maternal, child, and adolescent nutrition, featured studies examine trends and determinants of anemia among mother–child dyads in India, the effectiveness of multiple micronutrient supplementation during pregnancy in Bangladesh, and the strong link between maternal and child dietary diversity across low- and middle-income countries. Other articles draw attention to the growing influence of food environments and modern food systems in South Asia, including high consumption of ultra-processed foods and emerging links between climate change, food systems, and inflammation-related health outcomes. This edition also highlights evidence from Nepal on adolescent nutrition challenges and implementation research, alongside reviews pointing to gaps in evaluation methods and the need for better-aligned measurement tools. Together, the articles in this edition reinforce the importance of aligning evidence, policy, and delivery systems, and call for more rigorous evaluation of scalable nutrition interventions in real-world settings. A blog from the recent annual Delivering for Nutrition in South Asia conference, held in Kathmandu, Nepal and online from December 2–4, highlights key lessons on what it takes to achieve nutrition impact at scale. Please scroll down to explore these articles. If you were forwarded this Abstract Digest, we invite you to subscribe. Happy reading!

Year published

2025

Authors

International Food Policy Research Institute

Citation

International Food Policy Research Institute. 2025. South Asia Nutrition Knowledge Initiative: Abstract digest. SANI Abstract Digest December 2025. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179407

Keywords

Southern Asia; Asia; Nutrition; Maternal and Child Health; Gender; Health

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Abstract

Manuscript-unpublished

Module for measuring gender norms in agrifood systems: Adapted for focusing on youth and mechanization in Bangladesh

2025Heckert, Jessica; Mahzab, Moogdho; Quisumbing, Agnes R.; Simi, Sonjida Mesket
Details

Module for measuring gender norms in agrifood systems: Adapted for focusing on youth and mechanization in Bangladesh

This module is designed for use in agricultural communities in Bangladesh. Specifically, we expect that it will be well suited for evaluating changes in gender norms for gender transformative approaches paired with technical interventions with an agricultural mechanization component. This module is also designed to focus on differences in norms for young women (~ age 1534) and more mature women (~age 35-64) working in agriculture. First, we suggest identifying and using culturally appropriate terminology to refer to women in these two age groups. Additionally, we suggest piloting this survey in a sample with adequate numbers of younger and older women and men. For example, >300 respondents in each of the following categories: women 15-34, men 15-34, women 35-64, and men 35-64. These sample sizes will make it possible to compare perceptions of gender norms regarding younger and older women and consider gender by youth intersectionality. In the modules that follow, the same questions are asked regarding young women and older/mature women. One option to consider that can help avoid respondent fatigue from repeating similar questions would be to randomly assign half of the sample questions about young women and the other half of the sample questions about older/mature women.

Year published

2025

Authors

Heckert, Jessica; Mahzab, Moogdho; Quisumbing, Agnes R.; Simi, Sonjida Mesket

Citation

Heckert, Jessica; Mahzab, Moogdho; Quisumbing, Agnes R.; and Simi, Sonjida Mesket. 2025. Module for measuring gender norms in agrifood systems: Adapted for focusing on youth and mechanization in Bangladesh. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179398

Country/Region

Bangladesh

Keywords

Asia; Southern Asia; Gender; Agrifood Systems; Youth; Gender Norms; Mechanization

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Manuscript-unpublished

Working Paper

Impact evaluation of a solar powered drip irrigation intervention in eastern Yemen

2025Jovanovic, Nina; Darwish, Maram; Kurdi, Sikandra; Yamauchi, Futoshi
Details

Impact evaluation of a solar powered drip irrigation intervention in eastern Yemen

Groundwater irrigation supports agricultural production and local food security in arid regions, however costs and accessibility of fuel for pumping are a challenge in conflict-affected contexts. Solar-powered drip irrigation technology can support smallholder farmers in such settings. In this study we estimated the impacts of subsidized solar-powered drip irrigation systems on smallholder farmers’ production decisions and household food security via a clustered randomized control trial in eastern Yemen. We found that farmers in the treatment group were significantly less likely to cultivate cereals, more likely to cultivate horticultural crops, and more likely to sell a higher share of their harvests at market during the first season post‑intervention. These results provide causal evidence on the impact of solar drip irrigation systems on shifting smallholder farmers’ crop production toward higher-value crops. We did not find significant impacts on household food security within the short-term post-intervention period that the analysis covered. These findings also provide preliminary support for investments in solar and drip irrigation technology in Yemen, while acknowledging that more research is needed to address potential negative externalities.

Year published

2025

Authors

Jovanovic, Nina; Darwish, Maram; Kurdi, Sikandra; Yamauchi, Futoshi

Citation

Jovanovic, Nina; Darwish, Maram; Kurdi, Sikandra; and Yamauchi, Futoshi. 2025. Impact evaluation of a solar powered drip irrigation intervention in eastern Yemen. MENA Working Paper. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179397

Country/Region

Yemen

Keywords

Middle East; Impact Assessment; Irrigation; Solar Powered Irrigation Systems; Trickle Irrigation; Groundwater Irrigation; Smallholders; Irrigation Systems

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Project

Fragility, Conflict, and Migration

Record type

Working Paper

Brief

Measuring norms and beliefs about gender-based violence among adolescent girls and young women in rural Senegal: Psychometric validation in a novel population and setting

2025Heckert, Jessica; Dione, Malick; Hidrobo, Melissa; Peterman, Amber; Le Port, Agnes; Seye, Moustapha
Details

Measuring norms and beliefs about gender-based violence among adolescent girls and young women in rural Senegal: Psychometric validation in a novel population and setting

Intimate partner violence (IPV) and non-partner sexual violence (NPSV) are forms of gender-based violence (GBV) and contribute to a range of poor mental and physical health outcomes (Beydoun et al., 2012; Dillon et al., 2013; Flor et al., 2025). Among ever-partnered women aged 15 and older in the Africa region, 33% report physical and/or sexual IPV in their lifetime and 19% in the past year (Sardinha et al., 2022). In addition, the lifetime prevalence of NPSV among woman aged 15 to 49 years is 6% in sub-Saharan Africa (Sardinha et al., 2024). Norms (i.e., the societal expectations and rules that dictate acceptable behavior in a given context) that consider GBV acceptable in its various forms perpetuate GBV by reinforcing its acceptability. Among interventions that aim to reduce the prevalence of GBV, many aim to do so, at least in part, by changing both norms and beliefs about GBV (Leight et al., 2023; Ullman et al., 2025). Validated scales for measuring these outcomes are limited, but important for understanding factors that contribute to changes in norms and beliefs.

Year published

2025

Authors

Heckert, Jessica; Dione, Malick; Hidrobo, Melissa; Peterman, Amber; Le Port, Agnes; Seye, Moustapha

Citation

Heckert, Jessica; Dione, Malick; Hidrobo, Melissa; Peterman, Amber; Le Port, Agnes; and Seye, Moustapha. 2025. Measuring norms and beliefs about gender-based violence among adolescent girls and young women in rural Senegal: Psychometric validation in a novel population and setting. IFPRI Project Note. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179408

Country/Region

Senegal

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Western Africa; Gender; Women; Domestic Violence; Gender Norms; Youth; Rural Areas

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Brief

Working Paper

Inflation and diets among poor mothers in Egypt

2025Hashad, Reem; Jovanovic, Nina; Karachiwalla, Naureen; Kurdi, Sikandra
Details

Inflation and diets among poor mothers in Egypt

Global food price increases and widespread inflationary shocks negatively affect poor households’ diets, particularly those of women who are more likely to be food insecure compared to men. This study evaluates the relationship between changes in food prices triggered by the Russia-Ukraine war in February 2022 and poor mothers’ diets in Egypt, a country that heavily relies on imports of staple foods and is highly vulnerable to increases in international food prices. We combine food group specific governorate-level consumer price index (CPI) data with data on diets of 2,868 poor mothers in Egypt collected before and after the onset of the war. Additionally, we examine the potential protective effect of Egypt’s large-scale food subsidy program, Tamween, whereby specific foods are sold at subsidized prices at specific retailers. Using two-way fixed effects models, we find that changes in food prices are significantly associated with changes in the composition of mothers’ diets. Mothers were less likely to consume dairy and fish and more likely to consume pulses and sweetened beverages after the war began. Poor mothers decreased consumption of unsubsidized foods, suggesting a protective role of the Egyptian food subsidy program. This paper also provides suggestive evidence that poor mothers from households engaged in agricultural production could be slightly less responsive to changes in food prices compared to mothers from households that do not engage in agricultural production.

Year published

2025

Authors

Hashad, Reem; Jovanovic, Nina; Karachiwalla, Naureen; Kurdi, Sikandra

Citation

Hashad, Reem; Jovanovic, Nina; Karachiwalla, Naureen; and Kurdi, Sikandra. 2025. Inflation and diets among poor mothers in Egypt. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2394. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179553

Country/Region

Egypt

Keywords

Africa; Northern Africa; Middle East; Inflation; Diet; Gender; Poverty; Mothers; Dietary Diversity; Price Volatility

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Project

National Policies and Strategies

Record type

Working Paper

Report

Importance of tenure and governance for multifunctional landscapes

2025Meinzen-Dick, Ruth S.; Zhang, Wei
Details

Importance of tenure and governance for multifunctional landscapes

Agricultural production occurs within landscapes that combine crop fields along with other types of land uses such as animal grazing areas, forests, agroforestry areas, wetlands, and water bodies, each influencing and being influenced by the others (Altieri et al., 2018). While these are often considered separately, there are complex flows of resources—including nutrients, water, energy, and labor—among these different components. What is done on one area will affect others. For example, use of pesticides to increase production of certain crops can kill pollinators that are needed for other crops, or pollute waters that affect fish downstream. Positive externalities are also possible: afforestation can reduce soil erosion and affect the timing and volumes of water flows.

Year published

2025

Authors

Meinzen-Dick, Ruth S.; Zhang, Wei

Citation

Meinzen-Dick, Ruth S.; and Zhang, Wei. 2025. Importance of Tenure and Governance for Multifunctional Landscapes. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179530

Keywords

Tenure; Governance; Frameworks

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Report

Conference Proceedings

Workshop on applied policy research for scaling innovations in Uzbekistan’s agri-food sector

2025Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Akhramkhanov, Akmal; Gafurov, Zafar; Egamberdieva, Dilfuza; Rajiv, Sharanya; Dosov, Botir
Details

Workshop on applied policy research for scaling innovations in Uzbekistan’s agri-food sector

Uzbekistan’s agri-food sector is undergoing rapid transformation driven by structural reforms, growing water scarcity, and the need to build climate resilience across farms of all sizes. Some progress has been made in introducing water-saving irrigation technologies, digital agriculture tools, improved seed systems, mechanization solutions, and cluster-based value chains. These initiatives demonstrate strong potential, yet their scale and impact remain uneven. Fragmented policy implementation, overlapping institutional mandates, and weak coordination between ministries and agencies continue to limit the nationwide adoption of innovative technologies. Scaling effective solutions requires more than the introduction of new practices or tools. It depends on a clear understanding of which innovations work, in which agro-ecological and socio-economic contexts, and what policy or market conditions enable their uptake. Applied policy research is therefore essential for identifying scaling pathways, diagnosing bottlenecks, and quantifying the expected and actual effects of reforms and programs. Without this evidence, policy decisions risk being disconnected from on-the-ground realities and may fail to generate the intended outcomes. This workshop brought together policymakers, researchers, and development partners to strengthen the role of applied policy research in scaling agri-food innovations in Uzbekistan. Discussions emphasized the importance of embedding dynamic Monitoring, Evaluation, Learning, and Impact Assessment (MELIA) systems into policy and program cycles to enable adaptive decision-making, accountability, and timely course correction. Embedding dynamic evaluation and adaptive MELIA into policymaking processes strengthens the evidence base. A system that continuously generates, verifies, and updates information allows government institutions to adjust policies and correct implementation gaps. Such an adaptive MELIA approach is critical for maintaining the relevance of scaling strategies in the face of climate variability, resource constraints, and rapidly evolving market conditions. Key messages emerging from the workshop include: (i) the need for harmonized and accessible data systems across value chains; (ii) systematic use of feasibility and socio-economic analysis before scaling innovations; (iii) stronger coordination of institutional roles and mandates; and (iv) targeted capacity development for both institutions and farmers. Participants also highlighted the importance of equity and inclusion, ensuring that women, youth, small farms, and vulnerable groups benefit from innovation scaling. The workshop concluded with agreement on priority areas for joint applied policy research and a forward agenda for 2026 and beyond. These priorities include strengthening data quality and harmonization, evaluating subsidy effectiveness, developing region-specific water-use methodologies, and institutionalizing MELIA as a core element of agricultural governance. Collectively, these actions aim to support evidence-informed policymaking and accelerate the scaling of inclusive, resilient, and sustainable innovations across Uzbekistan’s agri-food sector. By combining applied policy research, adaptive MELIA, and stronger coordination across institutions, Uzbekistan can accelerate the scaling of agricultural innovations and deliver more inclusive, resilient, and sustainable outcomes for its agri-food sector.

Year published

2025

Authors

Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Akhramkhanov, Akmal; Gafurov, Zafar; Egamberdieva, Dilfuza; Rajiv, Sharanya; Dosov, Botir

Citation

Akramov, Kamiljon T.; Akhramkhanov, Akmal; Gafurov, Zafar; Egamberdieva, Dilfuza; Rajiv, Sharanya; and Dosov, Botir. 2025. Workshop on applied policy research for scaling innovations in Uzbekistan’s agri-food sector. Workshop Report. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179638

Country/Region

Uzbekistan

Keywords

Asia; Central Asia; Policies; Agro-industrial Sector; Innovation Scaling; Conferences

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Conference Proceedings

Report

IMPACT model training for Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR) – Indian Agricultural Research Institute (IARI): Feedback survey report

2025Mishra, Abhijeet; Gabriel, Sherwin; Sulser, Timothy B.; Pal, Barun Deb
Details

IMPACT model training for Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR) – Indian Agricultural Research Institute (IARI): Feedback survey report

A four-day training program (24-27 November 2025) on the International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT), organized by the Division of Agricultural Economics, Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR) – Indian Agricultural Research Institute (IARI), was designed to strengthen participants’ capacity in global agricultural modeling and scenario-based policy analysis. Through a comprehensive curriculum developed by International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), the workshop provided both conceptual grounding and hands-on experience in using the IMPACT model and its network of linked modules, including climate, water, crop, and welfare models. Participants learned to design and run scenarios in GAMS and the IMPACT Excel Interface, interpret model results, and apply them to real-world questions in agricultural policy, climate change, and trade. The program emphasized the integration of biophysical and economic data for ex-ante policy analysis and equipped researchers to conduct multidimensional assessments of food security, technology adoption, and environmental sustainability.

Year published

2025

Authors

Mishra, Abhijeet; Gabriel, Sherwin; Sulser, Timothy B.; Pal, Barun Deb

Citation

Mishra, Abhijeet; Gabriel, Sherwin; Sulser, Timothy B.; and Pal, Barun Deb. 2025. IMPACT model training for Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR) – Indian Agricultural Research Institute (IARI): Feedback survey report. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179711

Country/Region

India

Keywords

Asia; Southern Asia; Capacity Building; Training; Modelling

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Report

Working Paper

Intrahousehold preferences for humanitarian assistance—Who prefers what: Evidence from internally displaced households in Sudan

2025Abushama, Hala; Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Abay, Kibrom A.; Siddig, Khalid
Details

Intrahousehold preferences for humanitarian assistance—Who prefers what: Evidence from internally displaced households in Sudan

Understanding the preferences of beneficiaries for what form of humanitarian aid they receive is critical for improving the effectiveness of such aid in conflict-affected settings that are characterized by rapidly changing markets and information asymmetries. This paper examines intrahousehold differences in preferences for in-kind, cash, and hybrid assistance among internally displaced households in Sudan, with particular attention to gender, decision-making power, and agency differences. While cash remains the most preferred modality, about half of the respondents reported favoring in-kind or hybrid assistance options. On average, women report a 7-percentage point higher preference for in-kind transfers than men, but with some variation across states. Preferences are strongly shaped by intrahousehold decision-making—spouses, particularly women, who control decisions over the use of aid are more likely to prefer cash, while those with less agency in such decisions favor in-kind assistance. We also find suggestive evidence that limited market access and self-control constraints are associated with a higher preference for in-kind transfers. These findings highlight the importance of agency and intrahousehold dynamics in shaping aid modality preferences and offer practical insights for designing more equitable humanitarian and social protection interventions in contexts with significant population displacement.

Year published

2025

Authors

Abushama, Hala; Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Abay, Kibrom A.; Siddig, Khalid

Citation

Abushama, Hala; Nigus, Halefom Yigzaw; Abay, Kibrom A.; and Siddig, Khalid. 2025. Intrahousehold preferences for humanitarian assistance—Who prefers what: Evidence from internally displaced households in Sudan. Sudan SSP Working Paper 26. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179715

Country/Region

Sudan

Keywords

Africa; Northern Africa; Capacity Building; Intrahousehold Relations; Humanitarian Organizations; Aid Programmes; Internally Displaced Persons; Gender; Gender-responsive Approaches

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Record type

Working Paper

Dataset

The Effects of a Secondary School Scholarship on School Progression and Youth Outcomes: Baseline Survey

2025International Food Policy Research Institute
Details

The Effects of a Secondary School Scholarship on School Progression and Youth Outcomes: Baseline Survey

This dataset contains baseline survey data from 2,141 youth and their households collected as part of a randomized controlled trial (RCT) titled The Effects of a Secondary School Scholarship on School Progression and Youth Outcomes in rural Ethiopia. The study evaluates whether providing secondary school scholarships to youth from extremely poor households in remote, food-insecure kebeles improves school enrollment and progression and affects a range of non-academic outcomes. The baseline survey captures pre-intervention information on household demographics, education and schooling status, work and time use, socioeconomic conditions, food security, life skills, future expectations, mental health and psychosocial well-being, and COVID-19-related experiences. These data provide a comprehensive profile of youth and household conditions prior to program implementation and serve as the foundation for subsequent impact evaluation analyses. The dataset is intended to support research on education, youth development, poverty, and social protection and can be used for replication, secondary analysis, and policy-oriented research.

Year published

2025

Authors

International Food Policy Research Institute

Citation

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). 2025. The Effects of a Secondary School Scholarship on School Progression and Youth Outcomes: Baseline Survey. Washington, DC: IFPRI [dataset]. https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/DOVZNY. Harvard Dataverse. Version 1.

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Africa; Scholarship; Secondary Education; Rural Areas; Poverty; Education; Youth; Schools

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Dataset

Working Paper

Incentives, administrative capture and preference aggregation in community-based targeting

2025Abay, Kibrom A.; Berhane, Guush; Gilligan, Daniel O.; Meles, Tensay H.; Tafere, Kibrom
Details

Incentives, administrative capture and preference aggregation in community-based targeting

Community-based targeting (CBT), which leverages community leaders to identify eligible beneficiaries, is widely used in social protection programs and development interventions, especially in data-scarce settings. Yet, little is known about how these leaders respond to opportunities for potential resource leakages and elite capture, and whether such behavior is moderated by budget constraints or the level of discretion given to leaders. Similarly, how community leaders involved in CBT aggregate individual preferences into collective decisions remains understudied. We conduct a cluster-randomized experiment in 180 Ethiopian villages to study the effects of incentive structures and discretion on administrative capture—defined as funds retained under the disguise of covering “administrative” costs. Local leaders were tasked with allocating real or hypothetical transfer budgets, with discretion to retain up to 10 percent as “administrative costs”. To uncover decision-making and preference aggregation within CBT committees, we elicited these decisions (proposals to retain a portion of the budget) individually as well as collectively. We find that financial incentives significantly increase administrative (elite) capture, and that capture increases with budget size. Group decisions yield higher appropriation than individual proposals, suggesting implicit collusion rather than prosocial restraint in group-based decisions. Moreover, when real stakes are at play, group outcomes are disproportionately shaped by extreme (outlier) preferences, whereas in hypothetical settings without actual transfers, popular preferences dominate. These findings highlight behavioral mechanisms underlying collective decision-making and administrative capture in CBT, which can inform the design of more accountable CBT systems.

Year published

2025

Authors

Abay, Kibrom A.; Berhane, Guush; Gilligan, Daniel O.; Meles, Tensay H.; Tafere, Kibrom

Citation

Abay, Kibrom A.; Berhane, Guush; Gilligan, Daniel O.; Meles, Tensay H.; and Tafere, Kibrom. 2025. Incentives, administrative capture and preference aggregation in community-based targeting. IFPRI Discussion Paper 2392. Washington, DC: International Food Policy Research Institute. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/179323

Country/Region

Ethiopia

Keywords

Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Eastern Africa; Social Protection; Targeting; Decision-making; Resources

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open Access

Project

Fragility, Conflict, and Migration

Record type

Working Paper

Dataset

Economic Inclusion Program Cohort 2 in Kenya: Baseline Household Survey

2025International Food Policy Research Institute
Details

Economic Inclusion Program Cohort 2 in Kenya: Baseline Household Survey

This dataset consists of household-level data collected through a baseline survey conducted between April and May 2024 for the Impact Evaluation of the Economic Inclusion Programme (EIP), Cohort 2, in Kenya. The survey covers 3,251 households across four counties, Kisumu, Makueni, Muranga, and Taita Taveta, and was implemented by the Kenyan survey firm REMIT. The EIP intervention package comprises four components: (i) monthly consumption support, (ii) asset grants to support income-generating activities, (iii) skills training paired with weekly mentoring, and (iv) the establishment of Village Savings and Loan Associations (VSLAs). The evaluation follows a cluster-randomized controlled trial (cRCT) design, in which villages were randomly assigned to treatment and control groups in a 2:1 ratio, with randomization stratified at the sub-county level. The baseline household survey captures data on demographics, consumption and income, assets, financial inclusion, enterprise activities, food security, mental health, gender equity, social cohesion, and exposure to social protection programs. These data provide a detailed snapshot of household conditions prior to program implementation and enable rigorous impact evaluation, replication, and secondary research on economic inclusion, social protection, and poverty reduction in Kenya.

Year published

2025

Authors

International Food Policy Research Institute

Citation

International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). 2025. Economic Inclusion Program Cohort 2 in Kenya: Baseline Household Survey. Washington, DC: IFPRI [dataset]. https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/0HCFQN. Harvard Dataverse. Version 1.

Country/Region

Kenya

Keywords

Eastern Africa; Sub-saharan Africa; Africa; Economic Integration; Financial Inclusion; Capacity Development; Gender Equity; Social Protection; Domestic Violence; Mental Health

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Project

Fragility, Conflict, and Migration

Record type

Dataset

Journal Article

Projections of future mortality risk in older adults from high-tide flooding in coastal areas of the USA: An economic modelling study

2025Sheahan, Megan B.; Hauer, Mathew; Mueller, Valerie; Sheriff, Glenn; Fant, Charles; Holland, Isabel; Sarofim, Marcus C.; Hartin, Corinne; Neumann, James E.
Details

Projections of future mortality risk in older adults from high-tide flooding in coastal areas of the USA: An economic modelling study

Background Studies have documented the effect of increased nuisance high-tide flooding on traffic disruption and delays as well as infrastructure maintenance and repair costs. Recent research suggests that high-tide flooding is also associated with more extreme outcomes, including increased mortality risk among adults aged 65 years and older. The aim of this study was to leverage these new findings to project future premature deaths and associated economic costs among older adults in coastal areas of the USA throughout the 21st century under various climate change scenarios. Methods We estimated the relationship between global sea level rise and high-tide flooding. We then employed five projections of relative mean sea level from the Fifth National Climate Assessment to develop a probabilistic distribution of high-tide flooding scenarios. Combining population and baseline mortality projections with published estimates of the association between high-tide flooding and premature mortality among adults aged 65 years and older in Florida, USA, we generated a distribution of predicted high-tide flooding mortality impacts across coastal areas of the USA. Because this analysis assumes no change in adaptation strategies, we also presented a stylised scenario that assumes additional action is taken to limit mortality risk. Findings Our main specification (without additional adaptation) anticipates approximately 230 additional deaths of older adults per year in 2020 relative to 2005, corresponding to monetised damages of US$3·1 billion. By 2100, the model projects nearly 10 000 additional deaths in this age group per year under the same scenario, a 43-fold increase relative to modelled 2005 levels. With some protective measures, the model predicts 5700 additional premature deaths, representing a 57% reduction relative to the main results. Interpretation The cost of premature mortality in older adults is greater in magnitude than other modelled effects of climate-induced high-tide flooding (eg, value of lost time due to traffic delays). Results suggest further action is needed to (1) identify and protect components of road networks critical for emergency access, (2) build additional, more accessible critical care delivery facilities, and (3) manage the retreat of vulnerable populations to areas with better access to critical care facilities.

Year published

2025

Authors

Sheahan, Megan B.; Hauer, Mathew; Mueller, Valerie; Sheriff, Glenn; Fant, Charles; Holland, Isabel; Sarofim, Marcus C.; Hartin, Corinne; Neumann, James E.

Citation

Sheahan, Megan B.; Hauer, Mathew; Mueller, Valerie; Sheriff, Glenn; Fant, Charles; et al. 2025.Projections of future mortality risk in older adults from high-tide flooding in coastal areas of the USA: an economic modelling study. Lancet Planetary Health 9(12): 101382. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanplh.2025.101382

Country/Region

United States

Keywords

Americas; Northern America; Mortality; Flooding; Climate Change; Elderly; Coastal Climate; Modelling

Language

English

Access/Licence

Open AccessCC-BY-4.0

Record type

Journal Article

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